Beyond Ratings is an independent Macro-financial risk services company dedicated to country and Sovereign risks. Our team of experts and analysts builds on our proprietary risk methodology and advanced indicators. Founded in 2014, we assess countries wealth, monitor their economic and financial performance and resilience to global risks, such as energy prices and climate change. Our clients use our services for risk management, investment advisory, financial engineering and reporting requirements. Our clients are pension funds, asset managers, infrastructure funds, development banks, commercial banks and insurers.
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Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: China, Q4
China's economy grew by 6.7% in 2016 – its slowest rate in 26 years. While the country’s new five-year plan has set a growth target of 6.5-7% per year by 2020, the IMF predicts a slightly lower rate (between 6 and 6.5%). The official unemployment rate of 4.1% is expected to remain steady in the coming years. However, these figures are deceptively low, first because they have remained unchanged since 2010 despite a slowdown in the economy; second because of high underemployment, especially in...
Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: India, Q4
India’s economy is on the right track, helped by a large terms-of-trade gain (c. 2.5% of GDP), positive policy action and reduced external vulnerabilities. Since late 2014 and the collapse of oil prices, India’s economic activity has boosted and underpinned a further improvement in the country’s current account and fiscal positions. This context has also fostered a sharp decline in inflation. A range of supply-side initiatives (including the release of surplus grain buffer stocks) and appr...
Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: Indonesia, Q4
Indonesia is well rated compared with its peers, especially in terms of its composite score (equal to Philippines and Thailand; better than Morocco, Nigeria and Egypt), thanks to robust growth and greater macroeconomic stability. Strong private consumption has helped the country to maintain economic activity growth despite the Chinese slowdown. Inflation remains within the official target range (4%±1%), although is expected to be slightly higher in 2017 due to lower electricity subsidies. Overa...
Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: Japan, Q4
Economic growth has slowed in Japan due to weak private consumption and sluggish investment, while inflation has lost its forward momentum. Although financial conditions remain accommodative, appreciation of the JPY has resulted in modest tightening. The authorities have responded to a weaker domestic and external economic environment by providing additional monetary and fiscal support, including adopting a negative interest rate policy, planning for additional fiscal stimulus and postponing the...
Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: Malaysia, Q4
Malaysia has a somewhat above-average risk profile compared with similar emerging countries. It has high economic growth, limited unemployment and strong inflation targeting, in addition to a number of energy- and climate-related benefits owing to its oil and gas reserves and CO2 sinks based on land use and forestry. Malaysia’s external positions are a weakness but its current account balance is positive and its public finances are satisfactory. Its main weaknesses are its limited GDP/capita, ...
Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: China, Q4
China's economy grew by 6.7% in 2016 – its slowest rate in 26 years. While the country’s new five-year plan has set a growth target of 6.5-7% per year by 2020, the IMF predicts a slightly lower rate (between 6 and 6.5%). The official unemployment rate of 4.1% is expected to remain steady in the coming years. However, these figures are deceptively low, first because they have remained unchanged since 2010 despite a slowdown in the economy; second because of high underemployment, especially in...
Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: India, Q4
India’s economy is on the right track, helped by a large terms-of-trade gain (c. 2.5% of GDP), positive policy action and reduced external vulnerabilities. Since late 2014 and the collapse of oil prices, India’s economic activity has boosted and underpinned a further improvement in the country’s current account and fiscal positions. This context has also fostered a sharp decline in inflation. A range of supply-side initiatives (including the release of surplus grain buffer stocks) and appr...
Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: Indonesia, Q4
Indonesia is well rated compared with its peers, especially in terms of its composite score (equal to Philippines and Thailand; better than Morocco, Nigeria and Egypt), thanks to robust growth and greater macroeconomic stability. Strong private consumption has helped the country to maintain economic activity growth despite the Chinese slowdown. Inflation remains within the official target range (4%±1%), although is expected to be slightly higher in 2017 due to lower electricity subsidies. Overa...
Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: Japan, Q4
Economic growth has slowed in Japan due to weak private consumption and sluggish investment, while inflation has lost its forward momentum. Although financial conditions remain accommodative, appreciation of the JPY has resulted in modest tightening. The authorities have responded to a weaker domestic and external economic environment by providing additional monetary and fiscal support, including adopting a negative interest rate policy, planning for additional fiscal stimulus and postponing the...
Sovereign Risk Country Scorecard: Malaysia, Q4
Malaysia has a somewhat above-average risk profile compared with similar emerging countries. It has high economic growth, limited unemployment and strong inflation targeting, in addition to a number of energy- and climate-related benefits owing to its oil and gas reserves and CO2 sinks based on land use and forestry. Malaysia’s external positions are a weakness but its current account balance is positive and its public finances are satisfactory. Its main weaknesses are its limited GDP/capita, ...