RDFN Redfin Corporation

Redfin Reports Price Growth Starts the Year Strong But Harsh Weather Freezes Out Some Would-Be Homebuyers

(NASDAQ: RDFN) —The median U.S. home-sale price rose 5.1% during the four weeks ending January 21, the biggest increase since October 2022, according to a new from Redfin (), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Asking prices rose 6.5% which is also the biggest increase since October 2022.

Prices are rising for a few reasons. One, inventory is still quite low. The total number of homes for sale is down 4% year over year. And while new listings are up 2%, that’s the smallest annual increase in two months. Additionally, sellers can command higher prices because buyers have more purchasing power; mortgage rates are holding steady in the mid-to-high 6% range, down from 8% in October.

This week’s sales data shows sluggish activity as severe winter weather kept buyers and sellers on the sidelines in much of the country: Pending home sales are down 8% year over year, the biggest decline in four months. The big annual drop in pending sales can also be explained in part by a base effect from last January: Pending sales were improving at this time last year as mortgage rates fell.

While Redfin agents in places that are facing harsh weather report that would-be buyers are staying home (for now), mortgage-purchase applications are rising, and agents in warmer places say demand is picking up:

  • “Real estate is usually slow in the Midwest in the winter, but this year it’s even slower than usual because the weather has been so extreme," said Grand Rapids, MI Redfin agent . “Casual house hunters are staying home to avoid the roads—but inventory is low enough that serious buyers are finding a way to see desirable homes. I also believe we’ll get busier as we approach spring. People are used to higher mortgage rates, and they know prices are likely to go up more if they wait.”
  • “At the end of 2023, a lot of my clients said, ‘I’ll call you in January.’ And they did. This month has been nonstop,” said , a Redfin agent in Las Vegas. “I wouldn’t say buyers are happy about 6.5% rates, but they’ll accept it because they’ll feel vindicated if rates rise back to 8%, and they can always refinance and avoid future bidding wars if rates drop further. And sellers are coming out of the woodwork, noticing the interest from buyers.”

Leading indicators

Indicators of homebuying demand and activity

 

Value (if applicable)

Recent change

Year-over-year change

Source

Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.95% (Jan. 24)

Up slightly from a week earlier

Up from 6.18%

Mortgage News Daily

Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.6% (week ending Jan. 18)

Lowest level since May

Up from 6.15%

Freddie Mac

Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted)

 

Up 8% from a week earlier; up 17% from a month earlier (as of week ending Jan. 19)

Down 18%

Mortgage Bankers Association

Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index (seasonally adjusted)

 

Down 8% from a month earlier (as of week ending Jan. 21)

Down 21%

Redfin Homebuyer Demand Index, a measure of requests for tours and other homebuying services from Redfin agents

Google searches for “home for sale”

 

Up 18% from a month earlier (as of Jan. 20)

Down 15%

Google Trends

Key housing-market data

U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending January 21, 2023

Redfin’s national metrics include data from 400+ U.S. metro areas, and is based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2015. Subject to revision.

 

Four weeks ending January 21, 2023

Year-over-year change

Notes

Median sale price

$362,225

5.1%

Biggest increase since Oct. 2022

Median asking price

$384,458

6.5%

Biggest increase since Oct. 2022

Median monthly mortgage payment

$2,525 at a 6.6% mortgage rate

10.7%

Down roughly $200 from all-time high set during the four weeks ending Oct. 22, but up roughly $200 from the four weeks ending Dec. 31

Pending sales

54,331

-8.2%

Biggest decline in 4 months

New listings

54,796

2.2%

 

Active listings

742,862

-4%

 

Months of supply

4.7 months

+0.3 pts.

4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions

Share of homes off market in two weeks

26.5%

Essentially unchanged

 

Median days on market

45

-3 days

 

Share of homes sold above list price

22.9%

Up from 21%

 

Share of homes with a price drop

4.4%

Essentially unchanged

 

Average sale-to-list price ratio

98.2%

+0.4 pts.

 

Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending January 21, 2023

Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy.

 

Metros with biggest year-over-year increases

Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases

Notes

Median sale price

Anaheim, CA (13.6%)

New Brunswick, NJ (13.5%)

Miami (13.3%)

Newark, NJ (12.6%)

Providence, RI (11.8%)

Austin, TX (-3.7%)

San Antonio, TX (-2.2%)

Oakland, CA (-1.8%)

Jacksonville, FL (-1%)

 

 

Declined in 4 metros

Pending sales

San Jose, CA (8.8%)

Detroit (6.1%)

Anaheim, CA (4.5%)

Milwaukee, WI (2.6%)

San Francisco (2.3%)

Portland, OR (-24.7%)

New Brunswick, NJ (-21.9%)

Newark, NJ (-18.9%)

Houston (-18.3%)

Atlanta (-17.3%)

Increased in 9 metros

New listings

San Diego, CA (22.3%)

Phoenix (21.6%)

Minneapolis, MN (20.4%)

Miami (18.8%)

Fort Lauderdale, FL (18.7%)

 

Chicago (-20.4%)

Atlanta (-17.9%)

Portland, OR (-16%)

Fort Worth, TX (-11.2%)

Nashville, TN (-8.6%)

Declined in 14 metros

To view the full report, including charts, please visit:

About Redfin

Redfin () is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, rentals, lending, title insurance, and renovations services. We also run the country's #1 real estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with same day tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Customers selling a home in certain markets can have our renovations crew fix up their home to sell for top dollar. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Customers who buy and sell with Redfin pay a 1% listing fee, subject to minimums, less than half of what brokerages commonly charge. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than $1.5 billion in commissions. We serve more than 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 4,000 people.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit . To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the . To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email . To view Redfin's press center, .

EN
25/01/2024

Underlying

To request access to management, click here to engage with our
partner Phoenix-IR's CorporateAccessNetwork.com

Reports on Redfin Corporation

 PRESS RELEASE

Redfin Reports Home Sales Dropped Significantly in Altadena and the Pa...

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) — Home sales fell by double digits in the Pacific Palisades and Altadena in the wake of January’s devastating Los Angeles wildfires, according to a new from Redfin (), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. In the (), just 12 homes sold in February, down 56% from a year earlier. And in (), 32 homes sold, down 43% year over year. Home listings fell in neighborhoods hit by the wildfires, too. Listings slowed a bit in February—but not nearly as much as sales. There were 23 new listings in the Palisades, down 12% year over year, and 46 new list...

 PRESS RELEASE

Redfin Reports Gen Z and Millennial Homeownership Rates Flatlined in 2...

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) — Young Americans are losing their momentum when it comes to homeownership, according to a new from Redfin (), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Just over one-quarter (26.1%) of Gen Zers owned their home in 2024, essentially flat from 2023 (26.3%) and 2022 (26.2%). Before that, the Gen Z homeownership rate had increased each year since Gen Zers started aging into potential homeownership in 2017 (except 2022, when it stayed flat). The story is similar for millennials: 54.9% of millennials owned their home last year, essentially unchanged f...

 PRESS RELEASE

Redfin Reports Near-Record Housing Costs Put a Lid on Pending Sales, E...

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) —The typical U.S. homebuyer’s monthly housing payment is $2,793, just a few dollars shy of the all-time high, according to a new from Redfin (), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Housing payments are sky-high because sale prices keep rising and mortgage rates remain high. The median home-sale price rose 3.3% year over year during the four weeks ending March 16, and the weekly average mortgage rate is 6.65%, its lowest level since mid-December but still more than double pandemic-era lows. Lack of affordability is suppressing homebuyer dem...

 PRESS RELEASE

Redfin Report: America’s Renter Population Grew 1% in the Fourth Quart...

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) —The number of renter households in America increased 0.8% year over year to 45.4 million in the fourth quarter—the slowest growth since the first quarter of 2023, according to a new from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. The number of homeowner households rose 0.8% to 86.9 million—a growth rate that’s little changed from recent quarters. That marks the first time in over a year that the number of renter and homeowner households are increasing at the same rate. Prior to this, the number of renter households had been g...

 PRESS RELEASE

Redfin Reports U.S. Home Prices Grew 0.4% in February, the Slowest Pac...

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) — U.S. home prices grew 0.4% from a month earlier in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, equal to the slowest pace since July 2024, according to a new from Redfin (), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Home prices were up 5.1% on a year-over-year basis—the slowest pace since August 2023. Prices have grown between 0.4% and 0.6% month over month in 13 of the past 16 months. This is according to the Redfin Home Price Index (RHPI), which uses the repeat-sales pricing to calculate seasonally adjusted changes in prices of single-family ho...

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch