Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Upgrading Financials To Overweight, Downgrading Technology & Consumer Discretionary The recent rate surge has upset the picture for growth stocks and, consequently, the S&P 500 is going through a consolidation phase. While we cannot say precisely how deep this pullback will be or if the lows are already in, ongoing positive market dynamics tell us the pullback is likely to be contained and therefore should be viewed as a buying opportunity. With that said, a break below 3789 would signal additional downside ahead. · S&P 500. As noted in last week's Compass, a break of 3870 on the S&P...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Stick With Reflation & Reopening Theme Our bullish outlook remains intact and is supported by the absence of breakdowns across major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE) and ongoing positive market dynamics. Until this changes, we believe global equities are headed higher in the coming weeks and months. · Market Dynamics Remain Positive. Our bullish outlook is supported by much more than simply a lack of support violations on major global indexes -- though this is a major factor input. Additional market dynamics supporting our bullish outlook include: (1) the US dolla...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

MSCI EAFE With Major Long-Term Breakout The MSCI EAFE index has finally joined the all-time high breakout party, following in the footsteps of the other major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EM). For the MSCI EAFE index (local), this is a major breakout above 14-year resistance, and is something we view as a sign that global equities have much more room to run... see chart below. We remain bullish on global equities and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. · Focus On Emerging Markets, Hong Kong, & Japan. Despite the MSCI EAFE index breaking out to new all-t...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Booster Shots: Attractive bottom-fishing stocks

For investors looking for bottom-fishing candidates; stocks that are breaking downtrends, exhibiting ascending reaction lows, and showing stabilizing relative strength.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Int'l Insights: Bullish Stocks

Buy Gold And The Gold Miners · Gold Price. The price of gold remains on bullish short- and long-term trajectories with the uptrend that began in 2018 still intact. Short-term, gold is holding above base support near $1680 and we see the 2011 highs of $1900 as an achievable target price in the coming months. · We believe gold miners are likely to benefit from continued higher gold prices. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) depicts this opportunity, as current prices are offering a great entry point for both short- and long-term investors. When these short- and long-term ...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Booster Shots: Attractive bottom-fishing stocks

For investors looking for bottom-fishing candidates; stocks that are breaking downtrends, exhibiting ascending reaction lows, and showing stabilizing relative strength.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Market In “Wait-And-See” Phase We started to see waning upside momentum in the S&P 500 last week with the rising wedge breakdown and 2760 support level violation on Tuesday. Despite this, there was no downside follow through the following day as investors digested a new $484B fiscal relief package. This led to the S&P 500 finding support at 2725-2735 which leads us to where we are now -- testing recent highs. We see waning upside momentum and several aspects continue to suggest the S&P 500 remains vulnerable to a pullback, but the market is simply not breaking down. We believe some near-t...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Insights: Bullish Stocks

Video Game Stocks Breaking Out; Buy SE-US, EA-US, ATVI-US, ZNGA-US, CDR-PL, UBI-FR, and 9697-JP Video game stocks have been a major focus of ours for several months with the space outperforming the broad market amid the coronavirus pandemic. The stay at home theme remains in full force and with most of the space breaking out simultaneously, it gives us added confidence that price and RS appreciation is likely just getting started. · We believe the strength in video game stocks is not a flash in the pan. These companies are getting a boost from consumers staying at home, but we belie...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Upgrading Financials To Overweight, Downgrading Technology & Consumer Discretionary The recent rate surge has upset the picture for growth stocks and, consequently, the S&P 500 is going through a consolidation phase. While we cannot say precisely how deep this pullback will be or if the lows are already in, ongoing positive market dynamics tell us the pullback is likely to be contained and therefore should be viewed as a buying opportunity. With that said, a break below 3789 would signal additional downside ahead. · S&P 500. As noted in last week's Compass, a break of 3870 on the S&P...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Stick With Reflation & Reopening Theme Our bullish outlook remains intact and is supported by the absence of breakdowns across major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE) and ongoing positive market dynamics. Until this changes, we believe global equities are headed higher in the coming weeks and months. · Market Dynamics Remain Positive. Our bullish outlook is supported by much more than simply a lack of support violations on major global indexes -- though this is a major factor input. Additional market dynamics supporting our bullish outlook include: (1) the US dolla...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

MSCI EAFE With Major Long-Term Breakout The MSCI EAFE index has finally joined the all-time high breakout party, following in the footsteps of the other major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EM). For the MSCI EAFE index (local), this is a major breakout above 14-year resistance, and is something we view as a sign that global equities have much more room to run... see chart below. We remain bullish on global equities and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. · Focus On Emerging Markets, Hong Kong, & Japan. Despite the MSCI EAFE index breaking out to new all-t...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Booster Shots: Attractive bottom-fishing stocks

For investors looking for bottom-fishing candidates; stocks that are breaking downtrends, exhibiting ascending reaction lows, and showing stabilizing relative strength.

Vital Signs: Energy shares breaking out

​In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into Sectors and Groups. We then manually analyze the charts of the filtered names for technical significance: breakouts/breakdowns, Sector/Group themes, relative strength leadership changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts. 

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