Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Market Sending Mixed Signals Yesterday's break below 3425 short-term support in the S&P 500 opens the door for potential visits to 3325 and 3200, two important support levels we are watching moving forward. With that said, as long as 3200 holds (the September lows) we are constructive and would be buyers on a pullback. At the same time, small-caps are providing a risk-on signal with the Russell 2000 (IWM) still holding above $159 short-term support. Leadership from small-caps is something we would expect to see in a broad-based bull market, and if IWM is above $159 it is hard to get too beari...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Int'l Insights: Bullish Stocks

US Dollar Weakness Remains A Tailwind For EM The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains constructive as it consolidates below the all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,700; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective. Additionally, the MSCI EM vs. EAFE ratio is breaking out to multi-year highs -- remain overweight EM relative to EAFE. We continue to attribute much of this outperformance to the downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as the DXY downtrend is intact we believe EM's outperformance is likely to continue... see chart below. Below ...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Market Dynamics Remain Positive, And So Are We With broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index) hitting multi-month highs and the US dollar holding below resistance we continue to be encouraged by market dynamics that are supportive of an ongoing equity bull market. Additionally, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns on the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, & EAFE). As a result, our outlook remains bullish. · Key Levels On MSCI ACWI & EM Indexes. Over the intermediate-term we are positive as long support levels of $70 on ACWI-US and $42.30 on EEM-US continue...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Int'l Insights: Bullish Stocks

Buy Gold And The Gold Miners · Gold Price. The price of gold remains on bullish short- and long-term trajectories with the uptrend that began in 2018 still intact. Short-term, gold is holding above base support near $1680 and we see the 2011 highs of $1900 as an achievable target price in the coming months. · We believe gold miners are likely to benefit from continued higher gold prices. The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) depicts this opportunity, as current prices are offering a great entry point for both short- and long-term investors. When these short- and long-term ...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Booster Shots: Attractive bottom-fishing stocks

For investors looking for bottom-fishing candidates; stocks that are breaking downtrends, exhibiting ascending reaction lows, and showing stabilizing relative strength.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Market In “Wait-And-See” Phase We started to see waning upside momentum in the S&P 500 last week with the rising wedge breakdown and 2760 support level violation on Tuesday. Despite this, there was no downside follow through the following day as investors digested a new $484B fiscal relief package. This led to the S&P 500 finding support at 2725-2735 which leads us to where we are now -- testing recent highs. We see waning upside momentum and several aspects continue to suggest the S&P 500 remains vulnerable to a pullback, but the market is simply not breaking down. We believe some near-t...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Insights: Bullish Stocks

Video Game Stocks Breaking Out; Buy SE-US, EA-US, ATVI-US, ZNGA-US, CDR-PL, UBI-FR, and 9697-JP Video game stocks have been a major focus of ours for several months with the space outperforming the broad market amid the coronavirus pandemic. The stay at home theme remains in full force and with most of the space breaking out simultaneously, it gives us added confidence that price and RS appreciation is likely just getting started. · We believe the strength in video game stocks is not a flash in the pan. These companies are getting a boost from consumers staying at home, but we belie...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Market Sending Mixed Signals Yesterday's break below 3425 short-term support in the S&P 500 opens the door for potential visits to 3325 and 3200, two important support levels we are watching moving forward. With that said, as long as 3200 holds (the September lows) we are constructive and would be buyers on a pullback. At the same time, small-caps are providing a risk-on signal with the Russell 2000 (IWM) still holding above $159 short-term support. Leadership from small-caps is something we would expect to see in a broad-based bull market, and if IWM is above $159 it is hard to get too beari...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Int'l Insights: Bullish Stocks

US Dollar Weakness Remains A Tailwind For EM The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains constructive as it consolidates below the all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,700; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective. Additionally, the MSCI EM vs. EAFE ratio is breaking out to multi-year highs -- remain overweight EM relative to EAFE. We continue to attribute much of this outperformance to the downtrend in the US dollar (DXY). As long as the DXY downtrend is intact we believe EM's outperformance is likely to continue... see chart below. Below ...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy

Market Dynamics Remain Positive, And So Are We With broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index) hitting multi-month highs and the US dollar holding below resistance we continue to be encouraged by market dynamics that are supportive of an ongoing equity bull market. Additionally, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns on the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, & EAFE). As a result, our outlook remains bullish. · Key Levels On MSCI ACWI & EM Indexes. Over the intermediate-term we are positive as long support levels of $70 on ACWI-US and $42.30 on EEM-US continue...

Vital Signs: Energy shares breaking out

​In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into Sectors and Groups. We then manually analyze the charts of the filtered names for technical significance: breakouts/breakdowns, Sector/Group themes, relative strength leadership changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts. 

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