Report

Tullow Oil | Updates – reserves, Kenya disposal, CEO

Tullow has announced a number of key updates including the appointment of Ian Perks as CEO, completion of its Kenya disposal, and, most recently, a reserves update. As indicated at the interim results, Ghanaian reserves were revised down but we believe the negative adjustment of 7.3mmboe to Proven and Probable (2P) Reserves is likely less than the market feared and should be more than offset by conversion of 18.2mmboe of Contingent Resource into 2P Reserves once the Ghanaian licence extensions to 2040 are executed. With Brent at US$69/bbl we are increasingly confident in our above consensus forecast for the oil price. We make no changes to our forecasts, and our risked net asset value calculation remains at 53p, almost five times the current share price. Forward multiples remain exceptionally low, and a successful refinancing would remove a key uncertainty that should allow the shares to trade significantly higher, we expect.
Underlyings
Tullow Oil plc

Tullow Oil is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. Co.'s focus is on finding oil in Africa and South America. Co.'s primary activities include targeted exploration and appraisal, selective development projects and growing its production. As of Dec 31 2017, Co.'s portfolio included 90 licences in 16 countries. Co.'s operations are organized into three business delivery teams: West Africa; East Africa; and New Ventures. As of Dec 31 2017, on a working interest basis, Co. had commercial reserves of 245.7 million barrels of oil, 268.90 billion cubic feet of gas, and 290.5 million barrels of oil equivalent (petroleum).

TULLOW OIL PLC

Provider
Capital Access Group
Capital Access Group

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Analysts
Colin Smith

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