Concorde Securities

Concorde Securities Ltd. is Hungary’s leading independent company engaged in investment banking activities. It provides its clients with integrated financial services, including securities trading, research, corporate financing advisory, capital market transactions, wealth management and investment advisory. The operational management of the company is the responsibility of the CEO, while the owners/managers (who control one-third of the company through their shares and options) are in charge of its strategic governance. Concorde Securities Ltd. is a member of the Budapest, Frankfurt, Warsaw and Bucharest stock exchanges, as well as of the Hungarian Association of Investment Service Providers.

Krisztian Karikas
  • Krisztian Karikas

Top line growth remained solid, but net profit disappoints

DIGI has reported its Q1 results today morning. While the revenue growth remained solid, supported by the strong underlying performance from key markets, net profit was quite disappointing in this quarter which came in at EUR 5.9mn, 73% down YoY.

Mate Somlai-Kiss
  • Mate Somlai-Kiss

Repricing on the horizon, catalysts in motion

Following the strategic update and the latest results, we update our forecasts on Waberer’s. Logistics may begin to normalize and continue to deliver sustainable profitability, while the Insurance segment will drive growth in the coming quarters. Waberer’s remained unreasonably cheap despite being able to complete recent acquisitions with compelling valuation. These companies will likely enhance profitability, contributing more than EUR 10mn+ at EBIT level in 2025. Based on these key drivers, ...

Szabolcs Pal
  • Szabolcs Pal

Expensive but value-creating acquisition

We leave our recommendation at Neutral following Erste’s Polish acquisition, which was expensive, in our view, although they spent their extensive capital in a value-creating way. We roll over and raise our Jun-26 ex-div target price to EUR 75.6 from EUR 64.2, implying a 10.0% TR upside potential including a DPS of EUR 0.8 for 2025 over the TP period.

Mate Somlai-Kiss
  • Mate Somlai-Kiss

Profitability plunges in Q1, outlook remains unchanged

AutoWallis posted Q1/25 results this morning. The company achieved record quarterly revenues of HUF 107.3bn, increasing 20% YoY, mainly driven by closed acquisitions. Profitability shrunk further in Q1 after we saw some contraction last year, as EBITDA dropped -31.5% on the year to HUF 3.3bn, while EPS came in at HUF 1.21 (-55% YoY). The rise in fix costs may continue to deteriorate earnings in the short term, while according to the management, this is necessary to support inorganic growth aspir...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

MOL beats consensus on unusually strong Q1 refined product sales

The company outperformed market consensus across all key metrics—USD 833 mn clean EBITDA, USD 495 mn EBIT, and USD 393 mn net profit—the surprise is mainly driven by an unusual 15% YoY increase in Downstream sales and consolidation effects. Upstream also surprised positively due to lower exploration spending and limited royalty impact. Other segments had lower but also positive surprise.

Krisztian Karikas
  • Krisztian Karikas

Top line growth remained solid, but net profit disappoints

DIGI has reported its Q1 results today morning. While the revenue growth remained solid, supported by the strong underlying performance from key markets, net profit was quite disappointing in this quarter which came in at EUR 5.9mn, 73% down YoY.

Mate Somlai-Kiss
  • Mate Somlai-Kiss

Repricing on the horizon, catalysts in motion

Following the strategic update and the latest results, we update our forecasts on Waberer’s. Logistics may begin to normalize and continue to deliver sustainable profitability, while the Insurance segment will drive growth in the coming quarters. Waberer’s remained unreasonably cheap despite being able to complete recent acquisitions with compelling valuation. These companies will likely enhance profitability, contributing more than EUR 10mn+ at EBIT level in 2025. Based on these key drivers, ...

Szabolcs Pal
  • Szabolcs Pal

Expensive but value-creating acquisition

We leave our recommendation at Neutral following Erste’s Polish acquisition, which was expensive, in our view, although they spent their extensive capital in a value-creating way. We roll over and raise our Jun-26 ex-div target price to EUR 75.6 from EUR 64.2, implying a 10.0% TR upside potential including a DPS of EUR 0.8 for 2025 over the TP period.

Mate Somlai-Kiss
  • Mate Somlai-Kiss

Profitability plunges in Q1, outlook remains unchanged

AutoWallis posted Q1/25 results this morning. The company achieved record quarterly revenues of HUF 107.3bn, increasing 20% YoY, mainly driven by closed acquisitions. Profitability shrunk further in Q1 after we saw some contraction last year, as EBITDA dropped -31.5% on the year to HUF 3.3bn, while EPS came in at HUF 1.21 (-55% YoY). The rise in fix costs may continue to deteriorate earnings in the short term, while according to the management, this is necessary to support inorganic growth aspir...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

MOL beats consensus on unusually strong Q1 refined product sales

The company outperformed market consensus across all key metrics—USD 833 mn clean EBITDA, USD 495 mn EBIT, and USD 393 mn net profit—the surprise is mainly driven by an unusual 15% YoY increase in Downstream sales and consolidation effects. Upstream also surprised positively due to lower exploration spending and limited royalty impact. Other segments had lower but also positive surprise.

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

NBH Rate-setting meeting Central bank continued lowering its effectiv...

At the August 29 Monetary Council (MC) meeting theNBH lowered the effective 1-day depo rate by 100bpsto 14%.Similarly, the top of the interest rate corridor waslowered by 100bps. The base rate was left unchangedat 13.00%. The decisions were in line with the marketconsensus and came as neutral for the forint andother Hungarian assets. Subsequent central bankcomments were similar to the previous ones in termsof cautiousness. Referring to the approaching mergerof the effective depo rate and the bas...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

HU CPI: 16.4% in August, slightly higher-than-expected

August CPI: ongoing disinflation, though with higher m/m index Y/Y: 16.4% (Bloomberg consensus: 16.3%, previous: 17.6%) M/M: 0.7% (Bloomberg consensus: 0.5%, previous: 0.3% )Disinflation slowed down slightly due to an 8.2% m/m jump of car fuel prices in August. Still, the y/y CPI indexdropped more than 1pp compared to the July figure. Base effect has remained on the rise, but m/m repricingwas less favourable (+0.3%) compared to the May-July period. The food prices rose, but below the average.H...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

HU CPI: 17.6% in July, in line with the consensus

July CPI: faster disinflation, with low m/m index Y/Y: 17.6% (Bloomberg consensus: 17.7%, previous: 20.1%) M/M: 0.3% (Bloomberg consensus: 0.1%, previous: 0.3% )CPI index (y/y) dropped below 20% for the first time after 10 months. Base effect has been on the rise, butm/m reprcing was also moderate (+0.3%). Food prices once again showed deflation, -0.9% m/m in July after -0.4% in June. A total of three main categories were in deflation (clothes and durable goods too), whilehousehold energy’s ha...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

NBH Rate-setting meeting Central bank continued lowering its effectiv...

At the July 25 Monetary Council (MC) meeting theNBH lowered the effective 1-day depo rate by 100bpsto 15%.Similarly, the top of the interest rate corridor waslowered by 100bps. The base rate was left unchangedat 13.00%. The decisions were in line with the marketconsensus and came as neutral for the forint andother Hungarian assets. Subsequent central bankcomments were similar to that of the comments inJune: they highlighted ongoing cautious stance andsuggested that further rate cuts may arrive p...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

NBH Rate-setting meeting: Central bank continued lowering its effectiv...

At the June 20 Monetary Council (MC) meeting theNBH lowered the effective 1-day depo rate by 100bpsto 16%.Similarly, the top of the interest rate corridor waslowered by 100bps. The base rate was left unchangedat 13.00%. The decisions were in line with the marketconsensus and came as neutral for the forint andother Hungarian assets. Subsequent central bankcomments were similar to that of the comments inMay: they highlighted ongoing cautious stance andsuggested that further rate cuts may arrive pr...

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