Concorde Securities

Concorde Securities Ltd. is Hungary’s leading independent company engaged in investment banking activities. It provides its clients with integrated financial services, including securities trading, research, corporate financing advisory, capital market transactions, wealth management and investment advisory. The operational management of the company is the responsibility of the CEO, while the owners/managers (who control one-third of the company through their shares and options) are in charge of its strategic governance. Concorde Securities Ltd. is a member of the Budapest, Frankfurt, Warsaw and Bucharest stock exchanges, as well as of the Hungarian Association of Investment Service Providers.

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

OTP - No Surprise In Q3, Guidance Unchanged, TP Lifted

Q3/25 adj. profit came slighly ahead of consensus at HUF 330bn and showed c.2% QoQ positive dynamics on an FX-adjusted basis despite special one-offs having boosted Q2 results. Trends in core banking revenues also came in-line with expectations. NIM stayed flat and NF&C grew by 2% QoQ also on FX adjusted basis, buoyed by the increase in HU, BG and UZB. However, the FV adjustment to the Hungarian subsidized loan portfolio added HUF 8bn in other incomes in Q3, which was indeed also expected o...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

MOL - MOL Beats Consensus On Clean CCS EBITDA, Driven By Refining And ...

Clean CCS EBITDA came in at USD 974 mn, beating both market consensus (USD 943 mn) and our estimates (USD 990 mn). The biggest positive surprise came from Refining within Downstream and the exceptionally strong performance of Consumer Services. Petrochemicals remained a heavy loss-maker, as expected, with a worsening outlook. However, Waste Management delivered a large and unexpected loss with limited commentary.

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

RICHTER GEDEON - Q3 Disappoints, FY25 Guidance Cut, TP Cut

Richter posted disappointing Q3/25 results today morning. The Company missed analysts’ estimates on all lines and maybe in all business units. Revenues missed by 7% and came in at HUF 214bn (-1% YoY, -11% QoQ), while the net profit fell short of expectations by 22%, reaching only HUF 43bn (+17% YoY, -16% YoY). Innovative business units, including CNS and WHC, continued to perform well thanks to the eyecatching growth of Vraylar and Ryeqo, however, they also missed our cEBIT forecast by only...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Erste - Erste Beats Analyst Expectations Due To Strong NII And NFCI

Erste beat both the analyst consensus (EUR 836 mn) and our estimate (EUR 864 mn), reporting a net profit of EUR 901 mn. The outperformance was driven by strong NII and NFCI, further supported by a positive surprise in other results. The latter included an EUR 77 mn one-off gain in Romania, which offset banking levies. Asset growth remained healthy across both loans and deposits. Impairments were slightly higher than consensus. Guidance was upgraded for NII and CIR based on an improved earni...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Raiffeisen - Raiffeisen Beats Estimates On NII, Costs, And Provisions

Raiffeisen beat both the analyst consensus of EUR 424mn and our estimate of EUR 366 mn on net profit to shareholders excluding Russia, posting EUR 349 mn. The bank outperformed expectations across nearly all key items, most notably in net interest margin, operating expenses, and provisions. An upward revision to the consensus for full-year consolidated profit now appears highly likely, provided there is no exceptionally high provision booking in Q4. Management provided a conservative estim...

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

OTP - No Surprise In Q3, Guidance Unchanged, TP Lifted

Q3/25 adj. profit came slighly ahead of consensus at HUF 330bn and showed c.2% QoQ positive dynamics on an FX-adjusted basis despite special one-offs having boosted Q2 results. Trends in core banking revenues also came in-line with expectations. NIM stayed flat and NF&C grew by 2% QoQ also on FX adjusted basis, buoyed by the increase in HU, BG and UZB. However, the FV adjustment to the Hungarian subsidized loan portfolio added HUF 8bn in other incomes in Q3, which was indeed also expected o...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

MOL - MOL Beats Consensus On Clean CCS EBITDA, Driven By Refining And ...

Clean CCS EBITDA came in at USD 974 mn, beating both market consensus (USD 943 mn) and our estimates (USD 990 mn). The biggest positive surprise came from Refining within Downstream and the exceptionally strong performance of Consumer Services. Petrochemicals remained a heavy loss-maker, as expected, with a worsening outlook. However, Waste Management delivered a large and unexpected loss with limited commentary.

Gabor Bukta
  • Gabor Bukta

RICHTER GEDEON - Q3 Disappoints, FY25 Guidance Cut, TP Cut

Richter posted disappointing Q3/25 results today morning. The Company missed analysts’ estimates on all lines and maybe in all business units. Revenues missed by 7% and came in at HUF 214bn (-1% YoY, -11% QoQ), while the net profit fell short of expectations by 22%, reaching only HUF 43bn (+17% YoY, -16% YoY). Innovative business units, including CNS and WHC, continued to perform well thanks to the eyecatching growth of Vraylar and Ryeqo, however, they also missed our cEBIT forecast by only...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Erste - Erste Beats Analyst Expectations Due To Strong NII And NFCI

Erste beat both the analyst consensus (EUR 836 mn) and our estimate (EUR 864 mn), reporting a net profit of EUR 901 mn. The outperformance was driven by strong NII and NFCI, further supported by a positive surprise in other results. The latter included an EUR 77 mn one-off gain in Romania, which offset banking levies. Asset growth remained healthy across both loans and deposits. Impairments were slightly higher than consensus. Guidance was upgraded for NII and CIR based on an improved earni...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Raiffeisen - Raiffeisen Beats Estimates On NII, Costs, And Provisions

Raiffeisen beat both the analyst consensus of EUR 424mn and our estimate of EUR 366 mn on net profit to shareholders excluding Russia, posting EUR 349 mn. The bank outperformed expectations across nearly all key items, most notably in net interest margin, operating expenses, and provisions. An upward revision to the consensus for full-year consolidated profit now appears highly likely, provided there is no exceptionally high provision booking in Q4. Management provided a conservative estim...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

NBH Rate-setting meeting Central bank continued lowering its effectiv...

At the August 29 Monetary Council (MC) meeting theNBH lowered the effective 1-day depo rate by 100bpsto 14%.Similarly, the top of the interest rate corridor waslowered by 100bps. The base rate was left unchangedat 13.00%. The decisions were in line with the marketconsensus and came as neutral for the forint andother Hungarian assets. Subsequent central bankcomments were similar to the previous ones in termsof cautiousness. Referring to the approaching mergerof the effective depo rate and the bas...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

HU CPI: 16.4% in August, slightly higher-than-expected

August CPI: ongoing disinflation, though with higher m/m index Y/Y: 16.4% (Bloomberg consensus: 16.3%, previous: 17.6%) M/M: 0.7% (Bloomberg consensus: 0.5%, previous: 0.3% )Disinflation slowed down slightly due to an 8.2% m/m jump of car fuel prices in August. Still, the y/y CPI indexdropped more than 1pp compared to the July figure. Base effect has remained on the rise, but m/m repricingwas less favourable (+0.3%) compared to the May-July period. The food prices rose, but below the average.H...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

HU CPI: 17.6% in July, in line with the consensus

July CPI: faster disinflation, with low m/m index Y/Y: 17.6% (Bloomberg consensus: 17.7%, previous: 20.1%) M/M: 0.3% (Bloomberg consensus: 0.1%, previous: 0.3% )CPI index (y/y) dropped below 20% for the first time after 10 months. Base effect has been on the rise, butm/m reprcing was also moderate (+0.3%). Food prices once again showed deflation, -0.9% m/m in July after -0.4% in June. A total of three main categories were in deflation (clothes and durable goods too), whilehousehold energy’s ha...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

NBH Rate-setting meeting Central bank continued lowering its effectiv...

At the July 25 Monetary Council (MC) meeting theNBH lowered the effective 1-day depo rate by 100bpsto 15%.Similarly, the top of the interest rate corridor waslowered by 100bps. The base rate was left unchangedat 13.00%. The decisions were in line with the marketconsensus and came as neutral for the forint andother Hungarian assets. Subsequent central bankcomments were similar to that of the comments inJune: they highlighted ongoing cautious stance andsuggested that further rate cuts may arrive p...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

NBH Rate-setting meeting: Central bank continued lowering its effectiv...

At the June 20 Monetary Council (MC) meeting theNBH lowered the effective 1-day depo rate by 100bpsto 16%.Similarly, the top of the interest rate corridor waslowered by 100bps. The base rate was left unchangedat 13.00%. The decisions were in line with the marketconsensus and came as neutral for the forint andother Hungarian assets. Subsequent central bankcomments were similar to that of the comments inMay: they highlighted ongoing cautious stance andsuggested that further rate cuts may arrive pr...

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch