Concorde Securities

Concorde Securities Ltd. is Hungary’s leading independent company engaged in investment banking activities. It provides its clients with integrated financial services, including securities trading, research, corporate financing advisory, capital market transactions, wealth management and investment advisory. The operational management of the company is the responsibility of the CEO, while the owners/managers (who control one-third of the company through their shares and options) are in charge of its strategic governance. Concorde Securities Ltd. is a member of the Budapest, Frankfurt, Warsaw and Bucharest stock exchanges, as well as of the Hungarian Association of Investment Service Providers.

Krisztian Karikas
  • Krisztian Karikas

Another strong quarter, Q3 can be even better

Duna House posted record quarterly results in the second quarter as well. The Italian and Polish intermediary segment continued to post strong results while the Hungarian market somewhat slowed down in Q2. Given the improving performance in all three countries, the management reiterated its full year guidance of cleaned core net profit of HUF 2.9- 3.6bn.

Mate Somlai-Kiss
  • Mate Somlai-Kiss

Solid H1 results, unchanged outlook

ANY posted solid H1/25 earnings Tuesday, AMC. Q2/25 revenues came in at HUF 15.2bn, down -11% YoY, resulting in H1/25 revenues at HUF 38.7bn (+11% YoY). It is worth noting, that Q2/24 revenues were supported by election related revenues, therefore we do not attribute much importance to the quarterly decline. Similarly, quarterly net profit saw a -24% decline YoY, while H1/25 net profit attributable to the owners of ANY increased on the year by +40% to HUF 5.3bn. Q2 EPS of HUF 97 puts H1 EPS...

Mate Somlai-Kiss
  • Mate Somlai-Kiss

Challenges remain, margins in focus

We cut our TP to HUF 200 and reiterate our Buy recommendation on AutoWallis as we forecast margins to remain depressed in 2025. Top-line growth supported by acquisitions remains solid, as revenues came in at HUF 128bn (+20.9% YoY). However, margin pressures remain, as transaction costs and the pricing power of the OEMs weigh on profitability. Quarterly EBITDA increased by 14% YoY to HUF 4.8bn compared to the low base of Q2/24, while EPS came in at HUF 3.38, down -2.5% on the year. The com...

Krisztian Karikas
  • Krisztian Karikas

RGU growth is indisputable, profitability needs to improve

DIGI has reported its Q2 results today morning. While the revenue growth remained solid, supported by the continued strong customer base expansion on key markets, net profit to owners disappointed in this quarter as well which came in at EUR -0.9mn, 104% down YoY.

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Model Update

We have updated our financial model to reflect recent macroeconomic developments, setting a 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price of 3,330 HUF, representing a 20.5% upside (14.1% CAGR) including the anticipated HUF 283 dividend following the 2025 fiscal year. Consequently, we maintain our Accumulate recommendation for MOL.

Krisztian Karikas
  • Krisztian Karikas

Another strong quarter, Q3 can be even better

Duna House posted record quarterly results in the second quarter as well. The Italian and Polish intermediary segment continued to post strong results while the Hungarian market somewhat slowed down in Q2. Given the improving performance in all three countries, the management reiterated its full year guidance of cleaned core net profit of HUF 2.9- 3.6bn.

Mate Somlai-Kiss
  • Mate Somlai-Kiss

Solid H1 results, unchanged outlook

ANY posted solid H1/25 earnings Tuesday, AMC. Q2/25 revenues came in at HUF 15.2bn, down -11% YoY, resulting in H1/25 revenues at HUF 38.7bn (+11% YoY). It is worth noting, that Q2/24 revenues were supported by election related revenues, therefore we do not attribute much importance to the quarterly decline. Similarly, quarterly net profit saw a -24% decline YoY, while H1/25 net profit attributable to the owners of ANY increased on the year by +40% to HUF 5.3bn. Q2 EPS of HUF 97 puts H1 EPS...

Mate Somlai-Kiss
  • Mate Somlai-Kiss

Challenges remain, margins in focus

We cut our TP to HUF 200 and reiterate our Buy recommendation on AutoWallis as we forecast margins to remain depressed in 2025. Top-line growth supported by acquisitions remains solid, as revenues came in at HUF 128bn (+20.9% YoY). However, margin pressures remain, as transaction costs and the pricing power of the OEMs weigh on profitability. Quarterly EBITDA increased by 14% YoY to HUF 4.8bn compared to the low base of Q2/24, while EPS came in at HUF 3.38, down -2.5% on the year. The com...

Krisztian Karikas
  • Krisztian Karikas

RGU growth is indisputable, profitability needs to improve

DIGI has reported its Q2 results today morning. While the revenue growth remained solid, supported by the continued strong customer base expansion on key markets, net profit to owners disappointed in this quarter as well which came in at EUR -0.9mn, 104% down YoY.

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Model Update

We have updated our financial model to reflect recent macroeconomic developments, setting a 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price of 3,330 HUF, representing a 20.5% upside (14.1% CAGR) including the anticipated HUF 283 dividend following the 2025 fiscal year. Consequently, we maintain our Accumulate recommendation for MOL.

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

NBH Rate-setting meeting Central bank continued lowering its effectiv...

At the August 29 Monetary Council (MC) meeting theNBH lowered the effective 1-day depo rate by 100bpsto 14%.Similarly, the top of the interest rate corridor waslowered by 100bps. The base rate was left unchangedat 13.00%. The decisions were in line with the marketconsensus and came as neutral for the forint andother Hungarian assets. Subsequent central bankcomments were similar to the previous ones in termsof cautiousness. Referring to the approaching mergerof the effective depo rate and the bas...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

HU CPI: 16.4% in August, slightly higher-than-expected

August CPI: ongoing disinflation, though with higher m/m index Y/Y: 16.4% (Bloomberg consensus: 16.3%, previous: 17.6%) M/M: 0.7% (Bloomberg consensus: 0.5%, previous: 0.3% )Disinflation slowed down slightly due to an 8.2% m/m jump of car fuel prices in August. Still, the y/y CPI indexdropped more than 1pp compared to the July figure. Base effect has remained on the rise, but m/m repricingwas less favourable (+0.3%) compared to the May-July period. The food prices rose, but below the average.H...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

HU CPI: 17.6% in July, in line with the consensus

July CPI: faster disinflation, with low m/m index Y/Y: 17.6% (Bloomberg consensus: 17.7%, previous: 20.1%) M/M: 0.3% (Bloomberg consensus: 0.1%, previous: 0.3% )CPI index (y/y) dropped below 20% for the first time after 10 months. Base effect has been on the rise, butm/m reprcing was also moderate (+0.3%). Food prices once again showed deflation, -0.9% m/m in July after -0.4% in June. A total of three main categories were in deflation (clothes and durable goods too), whilehousehold energy’s ha...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

NBH Rate-setting meeting Central bank continued lowering its effectiv...

At the July 25 Monetary Council (MC) meeting theNBH lowered the effective 1-day depo rate by 100bpsto 15%.Similarly, the top of the interest rate corridor waslowered by 100bps. The base rate was left unchangedat 13.00%. The decisions were in line with the marketconsensus and came as neutral for the forint andother Hungarian assets. Subsequent central bankcomments were similar to that of the comments inJune: they highlighted ongoing cautious stance andsuggested that further rate cuts may arrive p...

Sandor Jobbagy
  • Sandor Jobbagy

NBH Rate-setting meeting: Central bank continued lowering its effectiv...

At the June 20 Monetary Council (MC) meeting theNBH lowered the effective 1-day depo rate by 100bpsto 16%.Similarly, the top of the interest rate corridor waslowered by 100bps. The base rate was left unchangedat 13.00%. The decisions were in line with the marketconsensus and came as neutral for the forint andother Hungarian assets. Subsequent central bankcomments were similar to that of the comments inMay: they highlighted ongoing cautious stance andsuggested that further rate cuts may arrive pr...

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