CrossBorder Capital

​​CrossBorder Capital Ltd (CrossBorder) is a London based, FCA registered, independent investment firm founded in 1996. It is owned by its partners and has no affiliations with banks, stockbrokers or other financial institutions.

CrossBorder's core competence is the measurement and analysis of global liquidity flows. Liquidity is a source of funds, in contrast to money which is a use of funds. It is defined as the flow of cash plus credit, or more explicitly as savings plus the change in base money plus the change in bank credit. Liquidity is therefore a more comprehensive measurement of fund flows than the monetary aggregates used traditionally. Liquidity research is applied to determining the outlook for a range of asset classes including equities, fixed income, currencies and hedge fund styles over varying time horizons.

Central to this analysis is the monthly collection and analysis of balance sheet data from over seventy of the world's central banks to quantify the level and direction of liquidity in each country. This data is publicly available, aggregate as opposed to sample, and rarely significantly revised. It is also little used by investors, and CrossBorder's prime utility is bringing this set of data to investors in a timely and user-friendly way.

CrossBorder's insights rest on two philosophical assertions: first, there is a regular cycle of liquidity, and asset class price movements tend to move sequentially over the cycle. By measuring where we are on it, we can significantly reduce 'fat tail' outcomes in our predictions for asset price movements. Secondly, weightings of asset classes held by investors in aggregate tend to revert to the long term mean. By measuring the variance from this mean, we can understand whether a particular trade is 'crowded' or the reverse.

CrossBorder offers these insights both as the Liquidity Research research service, and in the form of systematically allocated in-house funds. Clients of the Liquidity Research service include leading banks, fund managers (both traditional and hedge) and insurance companies located worldwide. CrossBorder additionally manages and advises on tactical asset allocation products for third parties.

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Weekly Global Liquidity Update 15 January 2021

A Fork in the Road: PBoC Trending Higher; ECB, BoJ and BoE Drifting Lower, and Fed on the Cusp

Michael Howell
  • Michael Howell

Emerging Markets Latest GLI January_2021

Emerging Markets Liquidity Update: China Will Ease More in 2021

Michael Howell
  • Michael Howell

Global Liquidity Latest - January 2021

Global Liquidity Latest: Bubble Economies, Not Bubble Markets?

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Weekly Global Liquidity Update 8 January 2021

Stable Economies, and in China’s Case a strong Renminbi, Allow Central Bankers Some Slack

Michael Howell
  • Michael Howell

Global View Global Liquidity in 2021 Another Story - January 2021

Global Liquidity in 2021: Another Story Global Liquidity will break records in 2021, fuelled by further Central Bank QE as policy-makers accommodate continued large fiscal programmes. Yet, more-and-more liquidity is heading into real economies, and strong economies rarely have strong financial markets. This is both the warning and the opportunity in 2021.

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