Day By Day

​​DayByDay is an independent research company providing global macro and single stock analysis, recommendation and allocation based purely on behavioural finance methods. Those include long term cycle analysis, sentiment analysis, and technical trigger. DayByDay serves all clients in need of practical and precise publications to make effective market decisions, on any time horizon, from a few hours to a few years.

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Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

Short term view - GBP-CHF : The major resistance is close.

The trend remains neutral. Prices will have to break above the peak at CHF 1.3104 for the trend to be positive again with an invalidation level below CHF 1.2740.Arguments :- The major resistance is close.- The moving average is capping prices.

Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

Analyse court terme - GBP-CHF : La résistance majeure est proche.

La tendance est toujours neutre. Il faut franchir le sommet à 1,3104 CHF pour que la tendance devienne positive avec une invalidation sous 1,2740 CHF.Arguments :- La résistance majeure est proche.- La moyenne mobile sert de résistance.

Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

Short term view - GBP-USD : Pull-back

The trend is momentarily interrupted by a consolidation on a shorter time horizon but prices remain below the invalidation level at $1.3210. It can resume at anytime towards the target at $1.2600.Arguments :- Prices are pulling back to the major resistance level (previously a support). The fall will resume afterwards.- The falling moving average confirms our opinion.

Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

Analyse court terme - GBP-USD : Pull-back

La tendance est momentanément interrompue par une correction sur l'horizon de temps inférieur, mais les prix restent en-dessous du seuil d'invalidation à 1,3210 $. Elle peut donc rependre à tout moment vers l'objectif à 1,2600 $.Arguments :- Les cours font un pull-back sur la résistance majeure (ancien support), la baisse reprendra ensuite.- La moyenne mobile, baissière, confirme notre avis.

Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

Short term view - EUR-JPY : The 62% retracement is causing the bounce.

Prices are in a sideways range, there is no specific direction.Arguments :- The 62% retracement is causing the bounce.

Are Agriculturals getting better ?

​Today we take a look at Corn, Wheat and Soybeans from a long term to a short term perspective. As prices already started to bounce back, the issue is to determine if this phenomenon may last and to outline the key levels.

Metals update ex gold

​Today we will focus on Silver and Copper excluding Gold since a specific research on this matter was released on March 24th. Long term charts to assess the big picture then we will try to find shorter term trading opportunities.

INDICES : testing short-term resistances

​The S&P 500 is testing a resistance, together with European indices. Though we are conscious that there are several elements that will bring new bears to the market, the picture is not particularly worrying yet for the time being. We could simply go though a sideways consolidation in the coming day, especially if the Dollar strength lasts a little longer, ahead of the ECB.

WHICH ARE THE BEST EMERGING COUNTRIES?

​Despite the imminent impeachment of Roussef, the recession, Brazil is the best Emerging country to take advantage of a recovery. Russia is also very strong, but it is very hard to monitor the risk level right now. We advise waiting for a better opportunity. India and China are not very different for the time being, but we had rather bet on India in the long term than on China. Peru is also a good candidate.

WHICH ARE THE BEST EMERGING COUNTRIES?

Despite the imminent impeachment of Roussef, the recession, Brazil is the best Emerging country to take advantage of a recovery. Russia is also very strong, but it is very hard to monitor the risk level right now. We advise waiting for a better opportunity. India and China are not very different for the time being, but we had rather bet on India in the long term than on China. Peru is also a good candidate. ​

Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

Short term view - CAC 40 : The MACD is oversold.

The trend is momentarily interrupted by a consolidation on a shorter time horizon but prices remain below the invalidation level at 5,226.00 pts. It can resume at anytime towards the target at 4,836.00 pts.Arguments :- Prices are pulling back to the major resistance level (previously a support). The fall will resume afterwards.- The MACD is oversold.

Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

Analyse court terme - CAC 40 : Le MACD est survendu.

La tendance est momentanément interrompue par une correction sur l'horizon de temps inférieur, mais les prix restent en-dessous du seuil d'invalidation à 5 226,00 pts. Elle peut donc rependre à tout moment vers l'objectif à 4 836,00 pts.Arguments :- Les cours font un pull-back sur la résistance majeure (ancien support), la baisse reprendra ensuite.- Le MACD est survendu.

Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

CAC FUTURE Nov18 : The 38% retracement has been passed.

The resistance has been passed, the trend becomes positive as we now have a succession of ascending peaks and troughs.The next target is at 5,265.50 pts. The invalidation level is below 5,046.00 pts.Arguments :- The 38% retracement has been passed.- The bullish gap opened as prices break out of the pattern announces a rally.

Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

CAC FUTURE Nov18 : Le retracement de 38% est franchi

La résistance vient d'être franchie, la tendance devient positive puisque nous avons maintenant une succession de sommets et de creux ascendants. Le prochain objectif est à 5 265,50 pts. Le niveau d'invalidation est sous 5 046,00 pts.Arguments :- Le retracement de 38% est franchi- Le gap haussier ouvert en sortie de figure annonce la hausse.

Valérie GASTALDY
  • Valérie GASTALDY

EUROSTOXX 50 FUTURE Dec18 : The 38% retracement has been passed.

The resistance has been passed, the trend becomes positive as we now have a succession of ascending peaks and troughs.The next target is at 3,321.00 pts. The invalidation level is below 3,174.00 pts.Arguments :- The 38% retracement has been passed.- The bullish gap opened as prices break out of the pattern announces a rally.

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