Report
Elisabeth Rudman ...
  • Tomasz Walkowicz

UK Banks’ 2019 Results Hit by Charges; 2020 Outlook Affected by COVID19 and Brexit

DBRS Morningstar has published a commentary discussing 2019 results of the major UK banking groups and the 2020 outlook.

Key Highlights include:

• The UK banks’ aggregate statutory profits weakened in 2019, driven by goodwill impairment and PPI charges.
• Despite some normalisation in the cost of risk, banks' underlying financial performance was resilient.
• In 2020 profits are likely to remain under pressure from the restructuring and low rates.
• The outbreak of the coronavirus represents a significant risk to the 2020 outlook.

“In 2020, profitability is likely to remain under pressure from low interest rates and intense competition in the domestic mortgage lending. Some of the large banks have also indicated they will be posting large restructuring charges. The recent outbreak of the coronavirus could have adverse implications for the global economy and the core markets, in which UK banks operate, exerting pressure on banking revenues. If new monetary policy measures are taken that lead to a further decline in interest rates, the pressure on net interest margins could intensify. These risk factors could lead to pressure on UK banks’ profitability and a deterioration in their asset quality metrics in 2020” said Tomasz Walkowicz, Vice President.
Underlyings
Barclays PLC

Barclays is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is a financial services provider engaged in retail banking, credit cards, wholesale banking, investment banking, wealth management and investment management services. Co.'s business segments are: Barclays U.K, which provides everyday products and services to retail customers and small to medium sized enterprises; Barclays International, which delivers products and services designed for Co.'s corporate, wholesale and international banking clients; and Head Office, which comprises head office and central support functions (including treasury) and businesses in transition.

HSBC Holdings Plc

HSBC Holdings is a financial services holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. operates four businesses: Retail Banking and Wealth Management, which serves customers through four businesses: Retail Banking, Wealth Management, Asset Management, and Insurance; Commercial Banking, which provides working capital, term loans, payment services, and international trade facilitation; Global Banking and Markets, which delivers a range of transaction banking, financing, advisory, capital markets, and risk management services; and Global Private Banking, which provides a range of private banking services. At Dec 31 2017, Co. had total assets of US$2.52 trillion and deposits of US$69.92 trillion.

Lloyds Banking Group plc

Lloyds Banking Group is a financial services provider. Co.'s main business activities are retail and commercial banking, general insurance and long-term savings. Co.'s Lending products are mortgages, credit cards, personal and business loans; Deposit products include taking Current accounts and savings accounts; Insurance products are home insurance, motor insurance and protection; Commercial financing products includes term lending, debt capital markets and private equity; and Risk management products includes interest rate hedging, currency and liquidity. As of Dec 31 2017, Co. had total assets of £812.1 million and total deposits of £448.0 million.

Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADS

NatWest Group Plc

Royal Bank of Scotland Group is a banking and financial services company. Co.'s activities are organized in franchise basis; Personal and Business Banking (PBB) comprising UK PBB and Ulster Bank RoI segment, which serve individuals and small businesses in the U.K. and the Republic of Ireland; Commercial & Private Banking comprising, Commercial Banking and Private Banking segment, which serve commercial, corporate and private banking in the U.K. and Western Europe; RBS International, which serves retail, commercial and financial institution in Jersey, Luxembourg and London; and NatWest Markets, which provides risk management and financing solutions through its trading and sales operations.

NatWest Markets N.V.

Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc, The

Provider
DBRS Morningstar
DBRS Morningstar

DBRS Morningstar is a global credit ratings business with 700 employees in eight offices globally. DBRS and Morningstar Credit Ratings are committed to empowering investor success, serving the market through leading-edge technology and raising the bar for the industry.

Together, we are the world’s fourth largest credit ratings agency and a market leader in Canada, the U.S. and Europe in multiple asset classes. We rate more than 2,600 issuers and 54,000 securities worldwide and are driven to bring more clarity, diversity and responsiveness to the ratings process. Our approach and size provide the agility to respond to customers’ needs, while being large enough to provide the necessary expertise and resources. For more details visit us at dbrs.com.

Analysts
Elisabeth Rudman

Tomasz Walkowicz

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