Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+15)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 11

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures remain. Sector Automobile Weekly: Direct impacts from US tariffs contained; indirect spillovers uncertain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$81.55/Target: HK$108.80) 1Q25 sales me...

AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
SCC SIAM CEMENT PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
SOP SARAWAK OIL PALMS BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
KIML KIM LOONG RESOURCES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
IOI IOI CORP BHD
KLK KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BHD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
GENP GENTING PLANTATIONS BHD
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 1Q25 preview: Benefitting from trade-in programme; l...

JD’s 1Q25 top-line growth and earnings guidance remained unchanged at doubledigit growth, slightly better than our expectations. JD also saw strong user growth and GMV growth in 1Q25 as it is well positioned to capture the continuation of the trade-in programme. JD highlighted its minimal revenue exposure to the US, implying limited impact from the US tariffs. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$220.00 (US$60.00).

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1Q25 sales meet expectations; acquisition of Ja...

Anta's 1Q25 operations were in line with expectations, with Fila continuing to sustain a good momentum. The company announced that it will acquire German outdoor brand Jack Wolfskin at a base price of US$290m, implying a 2025 PS ratio of 0.8x. Management expects the acquisition to further complete the company’s outdoor product portfolio, positioning Jack Wolfskin as a mid-range pricing option in addition to its current brands. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$108.80.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: Direct impacts from US tariffs contained; ind...

US tariffs on Chinese autos (up to 150%) have limited direct impact but raise global trade tensions, posing risks to demand and earnings. China’s auto sales grew 25% yoy but fell 30% wow in the 14th week of 2025, mainly due to Qingming Festival. PEV market share remained at 50.1%. BYD and Geely respectively guide for 86-119% yoy and 205-233% yoy spike in 1Q25 earnings, beating expectations. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV.

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Siam Cement (SCC TB) - 1Q25 Net Profit Expected To Increase qoq

We expect SCC to report a 1Q25 net profit of Bt652m. The CBM and packaging businesses have shown a strong recovery, supported by seasonal demand growth. For 2Q25, we anticipate a significant qoq rise in net profit, driven by improved performances in the CBM and petrochemical businesses. However, we believe the improvement in petrochemical spreads is temporary. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt160.00.

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Strategy - Alpha Picks: Greater China October Conviction List

As we continue to expect market volatility, we maintain exposure to names that have resilient earnings or are expected to enjoy an earnings growth recovery, such as Ausnutria Dairy (1717 HK), CSPC (1093 HK) and Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), and add PICC P&C (2328 HK) to our BUY list.

Gary Kong Tsz Yeung ... (+2)
  • Gary Kong Tsz Yeung
  • Tham Mun Hon

China Strategy - The End Of Cycles?

The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop have fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors in our BUY list.

Gary Kong Tsz Yeung ... (+2)
  • Gary Kong Tsz Yeung
  • Tham Mun Hon

China Strategy: The end of cycles?

The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop has fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors into our BUY list.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Monday, March 17, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply February's M1 growth slowed to 0.1% yoy (-0.3ppt), missing consensus’ 1.0%, due to the Chinese New Year effect. M2 remained steady at 7.0% yoy, but new bank loans fell to Rmb1.01t compared with Jan 25’s Rmb5.13t, while new TSF fell to Rmb2.23t, both below forecasts. Thus, outstanding bank loans growth edged lower to 7.3% yoy. Nevertheless, outstanding TSF growth rose to 8.2% yoy due to increased government bond issuance. Weak domestic demand remains a key ...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+9)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Thursday, February 27, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Hong Kong Budget 2025-26 The 2025-26 Budget balances fiscal discipline with strategic growth initiatives in AI and NM development, funded by prudent bond issuance. Hong Kong positions itself for future growth amid technological transformation, with a planned deficit of 2.0% of GDP and fiscal reserves falling to eight months of expenditure. The budget speech is overall positive on the Hong Kong property sector, with the reduction in stamp duty being a highlight. Result...

Colin Lee ... (+9)
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, February 18, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Property sales in both mainland China and Hong Kong recovered wow in the third week of Feb 25. With a continued decline in transition volume and improvement of sentiment in a few cities, we expect the land market to continue its structural divergence in 2025. In Hong Kong, the CCL index remained stable, but we expect high inventory to continue weighing on property prices. We stay cautious on NWD with a HOLD rating despite the recent sentimen...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+3)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, January 28, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI January's manufacturing PMI slipped into the contractionary zone at 49.1 (-1.0pt mom) and the non-manufacturing PMI decreased to 50.2 (-2.0pt mom). Construction (-3.9pt mom) saw a sharper decline than services (-1.7pt mom), while smaller firms struggled due to subdued external demand. Given the weaker data, investors will be looking out for new supportive measures in the run-up to the Two Sessions. TRADERS’ CORNER Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK): Trading buy range: ...

Greater China Research Team ... (+4)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Thursday, January 9, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$75.25/Target: HK$120.60) Sales momentum of the Anta brand and Fila both improved in 4Q24 compared to 3Q24, in terms of yoy growth, especially for Fila, although both brands fell short of the full-year sales targets. By channel, the performance of the offline channel has normalised. For 2025, management maintains the company’s mid- to long-term sales targets. In addition, the company plans to prioritise Super Anta as the key focus of store innov...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+9)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Terence Chiu
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, November 14, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply A little less to cheer. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly Riding on the wave of AI PC; Thunder Software Technology is a beneficiary. Sector Internet 3Q23 results preview: Solid e-commerce ad growth to drive sector growth; potential positive surprise from online game grossing. Internet Muted growth acceleration from 11.11 campaign. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$6.43/Target: HK$9.50) Revenue guidance revised down yet sales target mainta...

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