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Highlights • Advances in agentic AI are expected to fuel proliferation of AI applications and surge in AI inference workload. Data centre capacity is projected to almost triple to 219GW by 2030, of which 156GW or 71% caters to AI workload. • The impending listing of OpenAI and Anthropic would intensify attention on data centre REITs. NTTDCR (Target: US$1.42) offers the highest FY27 DPU yield of 8.6%. KDCREIT (Target: S$2.82) has a resilient Singapore-centric portfolio and is well supported by sp...
Company Update | SCG Packaging (SCGP TB/BUY/Bt20.80/Target: Bt26.00) We expect SCGP’s 1Q26 net profit to remain flat qoq, despite the absence of significant extra gains. This stability is supported by higher selling prices and an improved gross margin. Our 1Q26 net profit estimate accounts for 23% of the full-year 2026 forecast. Looking ahead to 2Q26, we anticipate net profit to decline qoq due to the low season in Thailand, but to still grow yoy. However, Thailand’s economic stimulus measures c...
Company Update | CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt47.25/Target: Bt62.00) We expect CPALL’s 1Q26 core earnings to come in at Bt8.0b, up 6.0% yoy and 10.3% qoq to reach a new historical high. CPALL is expected to be the only grocery retailer under our coverage to deliver positive earnings growth in 1Q26. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt62.00.
Company Update | AP (Thailand) (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.50/Target: Bt10.80) We maintain a positive view on AP’s earnings outlook, continuing to favour the company as it is a market leader. We believe AP is pursuing a more aggressive strategy than its peers, which should help preserve market share and support profit growth amid industry consolidation. In addition, we expect an attractive dividend yield of 5-6% (single payment) to help underpin the share price. AP will go XD on 6 May 26 for a dividend of Bt...
Sector Initiate Coverage | Beverage The beverage sector’s 1H26 earnings are expected to drop yoy, mainly dragged by CBG. While we anticipate a potential sales recovery in 2H26, we are also monitoring international developments and domestic market share dynamics. Rising energy and raw material costs will pressure margins. In the short term, we prefer OSP for its higher gross margin buffer and lower domestic market share pressure. Initiate coverage on OSP with BUY and on CBG with HOLD. We are MARK...
As we continue to expect market volatility, we maintain exposure to names that have resilient earnings or are expected to enjoy an earnings growth recovery, such as Ausnutria Dairy (1717 HK), CSPC (1093 HK) and Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), and add PICC P&C (2328 HK) to our BUY list.
The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop have fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors in our BUY list.
The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop has fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors into our BUY list.
Top Stories Company Results | Minth Group (425 HK/BUY/HK$36.00/Target: HK$56.00) Minth’s 2H25 net profit slightly missed expectations at Rmb1,416m (+13.1% yoy/+10.9% hoh), with one-off gains partly offsetting revenue miss. Looking ahead, earnings growth will be driven by new product lines and customer base expansion. We trim our 2026-27 net profit estimates by 11%/13% to Rmb2,874m/Rmb3,376m respectively, on short-term turbulence of EV sales, and introduce our 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb4,01...
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile China's humanoid robotics sector is accelerating, with 2025 global shipments up 508%. Key players anticipate significant revenue contributions by 2031: CATL expects 3-7% from batteries; Minth and LeaderDrive project 5-12% and 45-65% respectively; Tuopu forecasts 15-25% from motion systems; and RoboSense targets 40-60% from LiDAR. We maintain a MARKET WEIGHT rating on the sector. Top BUY recommendations include CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth (target price rais...
Top Stories Sector Update | Consumer The CNY consumption data exhibited accelerated growth momentum compared with the two Golden Weeks last year, which we view as early signs of a broader consumption recovery. We favour companies benefitting from: a) segments showing initial signals of recovery, such as restaurants; b) exposure to China’s structural consumption growth drivers, particularly in services and experiential consumption; c) potential policy tailwinds; and d) overseas growth. Our prefer...
Top Stories Sector Update | Hong Kong Property Residential prices rebounded more strongly than expected in 4Q25 and ytd, supported by positive rental yield spread over mortgage rates and stabilising population trends in Hong Kong. However, the yield spread has narrowed and supply remains relatively high despite easing sequentially. We raise our 2026 price growth forecast to 7% and primary transaction estimate to 25,000 units. We downgrade SHKP to HOLD, keep Kerry Properties at BUY, and maintain ...
Top Stories Sector Update | Metals And Mining Gold is holding near US$5,000/oz, supported by geopolitical risk, sustained central bank buying and policy uncertainty, reinforcing a higher structural floor. Despite tempered rate-cut expectations, gold equities still price in lower long-term bullion assumptions, implying valuation upside amid volatility. Copper’s pullback appears cyclical, with LME inventory builds driven by Chinese New Year seasonality and a temporary import arbitrage closure. We ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply A little less to cheer. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly Riding on the wave of AI PC; Thunder Software Technology is a beneficiary. Sector Internet 3Q23 results preview: Solid e-commerce ad growth to drive sector growth; potential positive surprise from online game grossing. Internet Muted growth acceleration from 11.11 campaign. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$6.43/Target: HK$9.50) Revenue guidance revised down yet sales target mainta...