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Negative Newsflow; Coal Unloader Collapse At Tanjung Bin Complex Jetty Highlights Adverse Incident at Tanjung Bin Complex Jetty in Johor. On 13 Dec 25, it was reported that a coal unloader at Adverse incident at Tanjung Bin Complex Jetty in Johor. On 13 Dec 25, it was reported that a coal unloader at Malakoff’s Tanjung Bin Complex, which was undergoing scheduled maintenance work (from 26 Nov 25 to 16 Dec 25) had collapsed. This resulted in two fatalities and three injuries. The incident result...
Industrial production growth edged lower to 4.8% yoy (-0.1ppt mom) in November, missing Bloomberg’s consensus estimate of 5.0% yoy. FAI ytd growth fell further to -2.6% yoy (-0.9ppt mom), below consensus of -2.3% yoy, dragged by property FAI ytd (-15.9% yoy) as the decline widened. Retail sales growth dropped considerably to 1.3% yoy, largely below October's 2.9% yoy, also missing consensus of 2.9% yoy. The unemployment rate remained stable at 5.1%. November's data was generally weak and b...
November’s M1 growth fell sharply to 4.9% yoy (-1.3ppt mom), missing Bloomberg’s consensus of 5.7% yoy and dropping below pre-stock market rally levels in August. M2 growth eased to 8.0% yoy (-0.2ppt mom), also below consensus expectations of 8.2% yoy. New bank loans recovered to Rmb0.39t from October's Rmb0.22t but missed Bloomberg’s consensus of Rmb0.45t. However, new TSF jumped to Rmb2.49t, beating the consensus of Rmb2.20t, driven by better government bond issuance. Outstanding bank lo...
China healthcare stocks were relatively weak during the first two weeks of Dec 25 as investors took profits, particularly for internet healthcare and drug innovator names. Fundamentals remain solid, supported by the new commercial insurance policy, lower costs of capital, and robust pipelines. Despite rising competition in areas like generics, GLP-1 drugs and surgical robots, companies continue to advance towards sustainable growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are BeOne Medicines, Hansoh ...
The phasing out of local car trade-in subsidies has hammered auto sales. PEV sales fell 17% yoy during the first week of December. Subsidies will resume in early-26 and trigger a sales rebound. We expect PV sales and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20.0% in 2026 respectively, driven by exports. Geely is catching up with BYD in terms of market share (12.1% vs 13.8%). Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth and Geely. Top SELL: Li Auto.
As we continue to expect market volatility, we maintain exposure to names that have resilient earnings or are expected to enjoy an earnings growth recovery, such as Ausnutria Dairy (1717 HK), CSPC (1093 HK) and Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), and add PICC P&C (2328 HK) to our BUY list.
The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop have fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors in our BUY list.
The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop has fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors into our BUY list.
Top Stories Small/Mid Cap Highlights | Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK/BUY/HK$5.90/Target: HK$7.60) We held a pre-blackout call with Plover Bay. In 2H25, growth momentum continued across all markets and management saw growing demand from new verticals. Meanwhile, subscription take-up rates continued to improve on enhanced software features and organic growth. Plover Bay has seen strengthened brand awareness for its Peplink routers since its collaboration with Starlink in Jan 24, and will conti...
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile We expect China’s vehicle wholesale shipment to grow 4.9% to 35.7m units in 2026, with EV shipments surging 22.9% and exports rising 20.8%. The anti-involution policy and subsidy rollback will curb overall sales growth but improve OEM margins by banning price wars, while auto parts suppliers will regain bargaining power. Key 2026 investment themes include ADAS, humanoid robotics, eVTOL and recovery of lithium carbonate prices. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top B...
Top Stories Sector Update | Internet The growing robotaxi ecosystem is drawing an increasing number of new entrants, including autonomous service providers and ride-hailing platforms. We expect technological maturity, policy support and better fleet economics to drive a major expansion wave for the robotaxi industry into 2H25/2026, with China’s robotaxi fleet size expected to grow ten-fold during this period. We see material development and monetisation progress of Robotaxi, sparking renewed in...
Top Stories Strategy | China’s 15th Five-Year Plan: Unlocking Domestic Consumption The 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-30) targets a 4.5-5.0% yoy GDP growth toward 2035 modernisation. Priorities include boosting services-led consumption via subsidies, tax reforms and consumer credit; advancing innovation in semiconductors, EVs, robotics and biotech; and extending anti-involution reforms to consolidate sectors with excess capacity. Green transition shifts focus on grid efficiency, storage and nuclear....
Top Stories Company Update | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$23.53/Target: US$26.80) Miniso’s qtd business performance was in line with management’s expectations. Domestically, it has 12 Miniso Land stores, with the estimated payback period for the Guangzhou Beijing Road store at 3-4 months. Overseas, adjustments were implemented in the US market following the appointment of the new CEO, who has over 15 years of experience in local retailing. On proprietary IP strategy, Yoyo’s sales are expected to exce...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply A little less to cheer. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly Riding on the wave of AI PC; Thunder Software Technology is a beneficiary. Sector Internet 3Q23 results preview: Solid e-commerce ad growth to drive sector growth; potential positive surprise from online game grossing. Internet Muted growth acceleration from 11.11 campaign. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$6.43/Target: HK$9.50) Revenue guidance revised down yet sales target mainta...