At our NDR meeting with TCOM on 18 Sep, management highlighted resilient domestic travel demand alongside solid progress in international travel, with outbound and inbound momentum supported by improving air capacity and easing visa restrictions. We remain positive on TCOM’s sustained travel growth and long-term margin outlook, underpinned by AI-driven initiatives, a strategic focus on the APAC region, and continued market share expansion through strengthened competitive advantages. Maintain BUY...
During our call with Kuaishou, the company highlighted its key pivots ion Kling AI, e-commerce and ad-tech upgrade. We have also raised some potential concerns including competition and computing power capacity bottlenecks. We believe the company’s strong monetisation progress and continuous strategies in AI will help create a moat against a soft macro and competitive environment. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$90.00.
This week's key highlights include insights from a China Automobile Dealer Association forum and a visit to Lynk & Co's Chengdu plant, China's historic L3 ADAS policy approval, and weekly sales updates. The market responded positively to these developments, prompting target price upgrades for Tuopu, Sanhua, Joyson Electronics and Fuyao Glass. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT for China's auto sector, with Geely and CATL as top BUYs, and BYD and Li Auto as top SELLs.
• The founder of Flash Express, a logistics company, has announced plans to enter the convenience-store business. We expect CPALL to continue defending its market leadership. • CPALL will benefit from the government stimulus packages for both the half-and-half copayment scheme and easy e-receipt scheme. • Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt63.00.
Top Stories Company Update | CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt48.75/Target: Bt63.00) The founder of Flash Express has announced plans to enter the convenience-store business. We expect CPALL to continue defending its market leadership. Moreover, CPALL will benefit from the government stimulus packages. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt63.00.
As we continue to expect market volatility, we maintain exposure to names that have resilient earnings or are expected to enjoy an earnings growth recovery, such as Ausnutria Dairy (1717 HK), CSPC (1093 HK) and Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), and add PICC P&C (2328 HK) to our BUY list.
The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop have fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors in our BUY list.
The stronger-than-expected 1Q19 economic data and central bank backstop has fuelled optimism that cycles are a thing of the past. With animal spirits rekindled, our more cautious view since end-February has not played out well. Although we have not seen an improvement in risk-reward so far and further meaningful monetary easing will be needed to see a sustainable recovery, we are adjusting our strategy to include laggards and policy-supported sectors into our BUY list.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Resources Beer (291 HK/BUY/HK$28.28/Target: HK$33.80) 1H25 results beat expectations. Sales volume of sub-premium beer and above saw mid-to-high single-digit growth. In the 15th Five-Year Plan, CR Beer will remain focused on Heineken as its core, while strengthening the sub-premium segment as another growth driver. The baijiu business is not expected to deteriorate further amid the adjustment phase in 2H25, but any potential impairment will still depend on business...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply February's M1 growth slowed to 0.1% yoy (-0.3ppt), missing consensus’ 1.0%, due to the Chinese New Year effect. M2 remained steady at 7.0% yoy, but new bank loans fell to Rmb1.01t compared with Jan 25’s Rmb5.13t, while new TSF fell to Rmb2.23t, both below forecasts. Thus, outstanding bank loans growth edged lower to 7.3% yoy. Nevertheless, outstanding TSF growth rose to 8.2% yoy due to increased government bond issuance. Weak domestic demand remains a key ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Hong Kong Budget 2025-26 The 2025-26 Budget balances fiscal discipline with strategic growth initiatives in AI and NM development, funded by prudent bond issuance. Hong Kong positions itself for future growth amid technological transformation, with a planned deficit of 2.0% of GDP and fiscal reserves falling to eight months of expenditure. The budget speech is overall positive on the Hong Kong property sector, with the reduction in stamp duty being a highlight. Result...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Property sales in both mainland China and Hong Kong recovered wow in the third week of Feb 25. With a continued decline in transition volume and improvement of sentiment in a few cities, we expect the land market to continue its structural divergence in 2025. In Hong Kong, the CCL index remained stable, but we expect high inventory to continue weighing on property prices. We stay cautious on NWD with a HOLD rating despite the recent sentimen...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI January's manufacturing PMI slipped into the contractionary zone at 49.1 (-1.0pt mom) and the non-manufacturing PMI decreased to 50.2 (-2.0pt mom). Construction (-3.9pt mom) saw a sharper decline than services (-1.7pt mom), while smaller firms struggled due to subdued external demand. Given the weaker data, investors will be looking out for new supportive measures in the run-up to the Two Sessions. TRADERS’ CORNER Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK): Trading buy range: ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Money Supply A little less to cheer. Strategy Small-Mid Cap Biweekly Riding on the wave of AI PC; Thunder Software Technology is a beneficiary. Sector Internet 3Q23 results preview: Solid e-commerce ad growth to drive sector growth; potential positive surprise from online game grossing. Internet Muted growth acceleration from 11.11 campaign. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$6.43/Target: HK$9.50) Revenue guidance revised down yet sales target mainta...