Report
Steffen Evjen
EUR 93.66 For Business Accounts Only

Limited effect of higher gas prices

European gas prices have doubled from February troughs to USD14/mmbtu (USD80/boe), and near-term fundamentals appear supportive for still-elevated prices throughout the winter. However, with high prices likely isolated to 2025–2026e, we see a limited valuation effect on our NCS coverage. Moreover, Equinor and Vår Energi have outperformed peers by ~10–20% since August, and we believe their valuations suggest higher gas prices are well reflected, despite the upside potential to consensus.
Underlyings
AKER BP ASA

Aker BP ASA engages in the exploration, development, and production of petroleum resources on the Norwegian Shelf. In addition, Co. has a separate Johan Sverdrup business unit to manage its interest.

Equinor ASA

Equinor is engaged in oil and gas exploration and production activities. Co. is primarily focused on exploration, development and production of oil and gas on the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS). Co.'s operations are organized into four segments. The Development and Production Norway and Development and Production International segments explore, develop, produce and extract crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Marketing, Processing and Renewable Energy segment markets, trades, transports and processes oil and natural gas and renewable energy. The Other segment consists of global well and project delivery, research and develpoment, and business development.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Steffen Evjen

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