Report
Martin Huseby Karlsen
EUR 94.52 For Business Accounts Only

Petrobras FPSO delays may hit service volumes but lengthen cycle

Being the largest global consumer of deepwater oil services, Petrobras’ strategic plans tend to get investor attention. On the positive side, its latest 5-year plan sees 5% higher E&P spending than the previous one, and has a more stable phasing between the years, which is supportive for the cycle duration. However, several FPSOs are facing significant delays, which is on the downside for oil services, leading to delays for deepwater oilfield services (primarily drilling and subsea), likely resulting in lower ‘peak volumes’ and demand being spread over a longer period. The rig count is said to be 25–30, versus 33 currently contracted. Pipe volumes are also down 11% from the previous plan to 8,000km. In sum, the new plan is positive for the longevity of the cycle but caps ‘peak demand’.
Underlyings
Aker Solutions ASA

Aker Solutions is a provider of products, systems and services to the oil and gas industry. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the field of engineering, design and technology aimed at improving production and recovery. Co. has 3 reportable segments which are the strategic business units of the group: Engineering Solutions (provides concept and front-end studies to oil companies), Product Solutions (delivers oilfield products for the entire upstream value chain, from reservoir through processing), and Field-Life Solutions (offers a range of services, which has the ultimate objective to increase oil and gas recovery from existing fields and extend the operating life of field assets).

Borr Drilling

BW Offshore Limited

BW Offshore Limited. BW Offshore Limited is a Bermuda-based company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates oil and gas floating production, storage and offloading vessels (FPSOs) and floating, storage and offloading vessels (FSOs). It also focuses on field developments of discovered oil and gas fields. The Company operates across Europe, Asia Pacific, West Africa and the Americas. The Company is comprised of BW Offshore, BW LPG, BW Pacific, BW LNG, BW VLCC, BW Chemical Tankers, BW Dry Cargo and BW Fleet Management. It owns a fleet of 15 FPSOs and one FSO, operating in West Africa, Brazil, Gulf of Mexico, Indonesia, New Zealand and in the North Sea. Its owned fleet includes the vessels, such as BW pioneer, , Yuum K'ak Naab, Pemex, BW Cidade De Sao Vicente, FPSO Polvo, Berge Helene, Abo FPSO, Sendje Berge, Espoir Ivoirien, Petroleo Nautipa, BW Athena, BW Catcher (Premier Oil), and BW Adolo( BW energy).

Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc.

Diamond Offshore Drilling provides contract drilling services to the energy industry around the globe. The company's fleet enables it to provide services in the floater market on a worldwide basis. The company's contracts to provide offshore drilling services vary in their terms and provisions. The principal markets for the company's offshore contract drilling services are: the Gulf of Mexico, including the U.S., and Mexico; South America, principally offshore Brazil, and Trinidad and Tobago; Australia and Southeast Asia, including Malaysia, Indonesia, Myanmar and Vietnam; Europe, principally offshore the U.K., and Norway; East and West Africa; and the Mediterranean.

DOF GROUP ASA

NOBLE CORP NEW

Odfjell Drilling

Odfjell Drilling Ltd. (Odfjell Drilling) is an integrated offshore drilling and oil service company. The Company operates through three segments: Mobile Offshore Drilling Units (MODU), Drilling & Technology, and Well Services. The Mobile Offshore Drilling Units is responsible for operations of mobile drilling units fully or partly owned by the Company and units owned by other companies. It operates mobile drilling units in Norway, United Kingdom, Angola, Vietnam and Brazil. The Drilling & Technology segment is providing platform drilling, project management and engineering services. Drilling & Technology operates from offices in Bergen, Stavanger and Aberdeen. The Well Services segment is a provider of casing and tubing running services (TRS), drill tool rental and well intervention services to the onshore and offshore oil and gas industry. The Well Services are provided to onshore and offshore drilling operations in the North Sea, mainland Europe and Black Sea, among others.

ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD

PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.

SeaDrill Ltd

Shelf Drilling Ltd.

Shelf Drilling North Sea

Subsea 7 S.A.

Subsea 7 is a provider of seabed-to-surface engineering, construction and services contractor to the offshore energy industry. Co. provides products and services required for subsea field development, including project management, design and engineering, procurement, fabrication, survey, installation, and commissioning of production facilities on the seabed and the tie-back of these facilities to fixed or floating platforms or to the shore. Co. also provides products and capabilities to deliver full Life of Field services to its clients. Through its i-Tech Division, Co. provides remotely operated vehicles and tooling services to support exploration, production and drilling activities.

TGS-NOPEC Geophysical Company ASA

TGS Nopec Geophysical provides geoscience data to oil and gas exploration and production companies worldwide. In addition to global geophysical and geological data libraries that include seismic data, magnetic and gravity data, digital well logs, production data and directional surveys, Co. also provides advanced processing and imaging services, interpretation products, permanent reservoir monitoring and data integration solutions.

Transocean Ltd.

VALARIS LTD

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Martin Huseby Karlsen

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