Report
Håkon Astrup
EUR 449.90 For Business Accounts Only

Solid growth momentum into 2025e

Helped by benign weather with few storms, we expect solid underwriting across the Nordic P&C sector for Q1, with underlying performance further supported by earned repricing momentum and abating claims inflation. The sector is trading at an attractive average 2026e P/E of c15.2x and we see solid capital distribution prospects. We reiterate our recommendations on all our covered sector names and highlight Tryg as our top pick.
Underlyings
ALM. BRAND AS

Alm Brand is a holding company. Co., through its subsidiaries, operates within Non-life insurance, Banking and Life insurance sectors. The Non-life insurance segment focuses on private customers, small and medium sized businesses, property owners, agricultural customers and the public sector. The Banking segment is a nationwide bank that offers products for private customer financial needs. The Life insurance segment consists of life insurance, pension savings, pension insurance and health and personal accident insurance. As of Dec 31 2011, Co. has total assets of DKK44,913,000,000 and total deposits of DKK7,956,000,000.

Gjensidige Forsikring ASA

Gjensidige Forskring provides insurance products to private and commercial customers in Norway, Denmark, Sweden and the Baltic states. Co.'s activities are divided into six segments in addition to the asset management unit which manages Co.'s investment portfolio. The Private segment provides a range of general insurance products besides banking, savings and investment products. The Commercial segment provides a range of general insurance products to the commercial and municipality markets. Co.'s investment portfolio includes all investment funds in Co. except for investment funds in the Pension and Savings and Retail Bank segments. Co.'s other segments include Nordic and Baltics.

Sampo Oyj Class A

Co. is the parent company of a group engaged in the provision of insurance services and the marketing and sale of insurance policies such as worker's compensation insurance, personal accident insurance, motor vehicle insurance, motor third party liability insurance, fire and other property insurance; and cargo insurance.

Tryg A/S

Tryg is an insurance company, engaged in providing insurance services. Co.'s private segment encompasses the sale of insurance products to private individuals in Denmark and Norway. Co.'s commercial segment encompasses the sale of insurance products to small and medium-sized businesses in Denmark and Norway. Co.'s corporate segment sells insurance products to corporate customers under the brand Tryg in Denmark and Norway, Moderna in Sweden and Tryg Garanti. Co.'s Sweden segment comprises the sale of insurance products to private customers under the Moderna brand. Moreover, insurance is sold under the brands Atlantica, Bilsport & MC, Securator and Moderna Djurforsakringar.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Håkon Astrup

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