Weekly Real Estate Matrix

Transactions, CMD and halted DPS

This week Balder, Citycon and SBB announced divestments, Public Property Invest was assigned an IG rating by Fitch, and Corem hosted its CMD. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.45% for 2024e and 5.01% for 2025e.

Atrium Ljungberg AB: 1 director

A director at Atrium Ljungberg AB bought 4,921 shares at 203.000SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing Close periods where trading activity is restricted under listing rules. The names o...

Nykode Therapeutics (Buy, TP: NOK4.00) - Set for Q3e after major setback

We believe the company will implement larger cuts in the organisation as well as other cost-preservation initiatives to further extend the financial runway following the termination of the collaboration with Genentech. Despite the extra uncertainty around the technology’s clinical potential following the termination (causing us to completely remove the NEO programme from our model until we see the clinical effect data from the N-02 trial), we believe the current valuation (well below Q2 cash) is too low compared to the value of the technology based on the results it has generated over the year...

TGS (Buy, TP: NOK130.00) - Housekeeping

By reducing its average interest rate from 11.5% to 8.5% and annual interest costs by ~USD20m, TGS completed its debt refinancing at slightly better terms than we expected, prompting minor positive revisions to our 2024–2025e FCF and EPS. We still see a strong near-term cash flow outlook with limited debt amortisation supporting its capacity to raise dividends meaningfully after 2025e even in a flat seismic market. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to NOK130 (125).

Edda Wind (Buy, TP: NOK30.00) - Well positioned

While EBITDA was broadly in line with expectations, the Q3 report gave early signs of improved operational reliability, which we believe will be key to narrowing the discount to underlying values (the stock is trading at 0.6x P/NAV). Recent contract awards (including a new 12+12-month contract announced with the results) have made the fleet fully booked until the 2025 summer season, and three of the four 2025 newbuild deliveries are now booked directly following yard delivery. We reiterate our BUY and NOK30 target price.