Report
Simen Mortensen
EUR 469.21 For Business Accounts Only

Reporting recommences, macro swings

In the past month, our covered Nordic real estate names have rebounded 12.3% as market interest-rate curves have inverted. Reporting season restarted this week, with Citycon and Olav Thon publishing Q2 results. Leading indicators for residential markets continue to be weak. Weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 4.14% for 2022e and 4.53% for 2023e.
Underlyings
Atrium Ljungberg AB Class B

Atrium Ljungberg is a property company. Co. owns, develops and manages properties and areas, primarily for the retail and office sectors. Co.'s operations are primarily located in Stockholm, Uppsala and Malmo. Co. develops areas and city districts in these three regions with a mixture of businesses. Most of Co.'s office portfolio is found in Stockholm: Sickla, Farsta, Sodermalm, Hagastaden and Kista. Co.'s residential properties are in the city district of Arvinge in Kista and the Mobilia area in Malmo. As of Dec 31 2013, Co.'s property portfolio includes a total of 47 properties.

Aura Energy

Aura Energy is engaged in the exploration and evaluation of its projects in Sweden, Mauritania, and Australia. This comprises exploration and evaluation of uranium, gold, silver and base metals projects.

Castellum AB

Castellum operates as a real estate company in Sweden. Co.'s real estate portfolio is located in five regions: Greater Gothenburg, Oresund Region, Greater Stockholm, Malardalen and Eastern Gotaland. At Dec 31 2013 Co.'s real estate portfolio comprised 626 properties, of which 324 were office/retail properties, 263 were warehouse/industrial properties, 16 were for project, and 23 were undeveloped land.

Catena AB

Cantena is a property management company. Co.'s property portfolio consists of two properties in Haga Norra in Solna, outside Stockholm.

Citycon Oyj

Citycon is an active owner, operator and developer of shopping centers. Co. aims to increase its net yield from shopping centers over the long term through active retail property management and systematic redevelopment efforts. Co. is involved in the day-to-day operations of its shopping centers. As of Dec. 31, 2011, Co. owned a total of 36 shoppings centers: 23 in Finland, 9 in Sweden, 3 in Estonia, and one in Lithuania. Co. also owns 43 other retail properties: 36 in Finland and 7 in Sweden and one undeveloped lot in Finland. Co. manages two commercial shopping centers in Finland.

Entra ASA

Entra ASA (Entra) is a Norway-based real estate company. It is engaged in development, letting and management of energy efficient buildings. Its portfolio comprises over 100 buildings with a total area of more than 1.3 million square meters and focus on office real estate in central locations. Entra is also engaged in project and land development activities. Its business is organized into four segments (regions) around Norway's four largest cities: Central Oslo, Greater Oslo, Southern and Western Norway, and Central and Northern Norway. Its strategic areas of concentration include Oslo and surroundings, Bergen, Stavanger and Trondheim. The Company is focused on the public sector, which represents approximately 80% of Entra's customers and tenants. Its legal structure comprises more than 40 property companies and special purpose vehicles (SPVs), a property management company Papirbredden Eiendom AS, several joint ventures and Oslo S Utvikling AS, a property development company.

Fabege AB

Fastighets AB Balder Class B

Fastighets AB Balder is a Sweden-based company engaged in the acquisition, development and management of residential and commercial real estate. The Company's real estate portfolio is comprised primarily of residential real estate and is located in such cities, as Stockholm, Gothenburg, Lund, Malmo, Norrkoping, as well as in regions outside metropolitan areas of Sweden and in the Copenhagen region in Denmark. The Company's subsidiaries include Balder Storstad AB, Balder Mellanstad AB, Din Bostad Sverige AB, Egby Vindkraftverk AB and Serena Properties AB.

Hufvudstaden AB Class A

Hufvudstaden AB is a property company that owns and manages 30 properties, located in the central parts of Stockholm and Gothenburg, Sweden. Co.'s principal area of business is the ownership, development and management of commercial properties. The holdings comprise commercial properties with office and retail tenants, divided between three business areas: Stockholm City East, Stockholm City West and Gothenburg. The office tenants are to be found in sectors such as banking, finance, law, information technology, media and recruitment. Store tenants include international brands as well as Swedish retailing chains. Co. also carries on its own parking operations through Parkaden AB subsidiary.

KMC Properties

Storm Real Estate ASA is a Norway-based investment company active in the real estate sector. It is engaged in both direct ownership and management of commercial property in Russia and the European Economic Area (EEA) and in indirect ownership by taking positions in other companies through the purchase of shares or commercial papers. As of December 31, 2013, the property portfolio of the Company consisted of two office buildings: Gasfield in Moscow and Grifon House in St. Petersburg, with a total lettable area of approximately 20 000 square metres. Both buildings are let to companies within the oil, gas and pharmaceutical industries. As of December 31, 2013, the Company had nine wholly owned subsidiaries based in Russia and Cyprus, such as OOO Martex, CJSC Grifon, Tiberton Yard Ltd, Tiberton Yard Holding 2 Ltd, Tiberton Yard Finance Ltd, Gasor Consulting Ltd, Pete Ltd, Avonglade Ltd and Storm Real Estate Ltd.

Kojamo Oyj

Kojamo Oyj is a Finland-based private residential real estate company. It offers rental apartments and housing services for tenants primarily in the Helsinki region, the Tampere, Turku, Kuopio and Lahti regions, as well as in the cities of Oulu and Jyvaskyla. The Company's portfolio comprises over 35 000 rental apartments. The Company operates within two segments: Lumo and VVO. The Lumo segment includes commercial housing services and apartments primarily are free from restrictions under state-subsidized housing loans (ARAVA) and/or interest subsidy legislation. The VVO segment includes the rental apartments subject to restrictions on rent levels under ARAVA and/or interest subsidy legislation.

Nyfosa AB

Nyfosa AB is a Sweden-based real estate investment company. The Company's transaction-based investment strategy is not limited by property category, region, scope of the transaction or holding period. The Company focuses on commercial real estate, with the property portfolio divided into three categories: Offices, Logistics/Warehouse and Other. The properties are diversified geographically, with the office buildings mainly located in Swedish municipalities and the warehouses in transportation hubs across Sweden. The Other category includes retail premises, hotels and industrial spaces. The portfolio comprises more than 170 properties with a total leaseable area of approximately 1,500,000 square meters. The Company develops and adds value to its property holdings through active approach to property management. All of electricity supplied to its properties derives from renewable sources.

Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap ASA

Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap is engaged as a property operator. Co.'s property portfolio is broken down into the following property segments: shopping centres and commercial property. At Dec 31 2013, Co.'s shopping centres comprised the management of 87 shopping centres, of which 27 are managed for external owners.

Pandox AB Class B

Pandox AB is a hotel property company in northern Europe. The Company's principal business activities are the active ownership, development and leasing of large hotel properties in Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmo, in Swedish regional and university cities and in capitals and other major cities in northern Europe. The Company's hotel properties are situated in such locations as city centers, airports and convention centers. Pandox' hotels are in the upper-medium to high price range and focus on the business and leisure segment. The Company's portfolio is comprised of 44 hotel properties in five countries (Sweden, Denmark, Germany, Belgium and the United Kingdom) totaling 8,143 rooms. The average number of rooms per hotel is 188. The Company's hotels are operated by such hotel operators as Hilton Group plc, Choice Hotels, Rezidor SAS, Best Western, Elite Hotels and First Hospitality, among others.

Samhallsbyggnadsbolaget I Norden AB Class B

Samhallsbyggnadsbolaget I Norden AB, formerly Effnetplattformen AB, is a Sweden-based company, which owns community properties in the Nordic region, as well as rental apartments in Sweden. It cooperates with municipalities and other tenants on a long-term basis. The Company operates Offentlige Bygg AS as subsidiary.

Wallenstam AB Class B

Wallenstam Byggn is a property company that builds, develops and administers properties for sustainable living and the pursuit of business in Stockholm and Gothenburg. Co. is also a producer and supplier of renewable energy through its subsidiary, Svensk NaturEnergi (NaturEnergi). Operations were run in three business areas - properties in the Gothenburg and Stockholm regions and renewable energy through NaturEnergi. The two property regions also include responsibility for leasing and management of housing and commercial premises together with planning and construction work. Operations at NaturEnergi consist of both the generation of, and trade in, renewable energy.

Wihlborgs Fastigheter AB

Wihlborgs Fastigheter is a property company that focuses on commercial properties in the Oresund region. Co.'s property portfolio is located in Malmo, Helsingborg, Lund and Copenhagen. At Dec 31 2013, the property portfolio consisted of 264 properties, including 12 with site leasehold rights, with a total lettable area of around 1.5 million square meters.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Simen Mortensen

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