Expect some deepwater volatility ahead
With UDW day-rates more than doubling, and trending straight-line higher, since early 2021, we believe investors should be prepared to see more volatility ahead. In our view, most upcoming jobs are likely to see clean day-rates cUSD400k–450k. On the positive side, all-in day-rates (in particular with Petrobras in Brazil) for high-spec drillships with near-term startup could be above this range. At the same time, we see at least one potential upcoming long-term job for a 7G drillship likely being around the mid-USD300k level on a clean basis. Also, for some rigs with open capacity in 2023, we see risk of idle time between jobs. For our estimates and view on the sector, we consider most equities attractive on flat day-rates, and note that most upcycles tend to see some periods with volatility in day-rates.
Diamond Offshore Drilling provides contract drilling services to the energy industry around the globe. The company's fleet enables it to provide services in the floater market on a worldwide basis. The company's contracts to provide offshore drilling services vary in their terms and provisions. The principal markets for the company's offshore contract drilling services are: the Gulf of Mexico, including the U.S., and Mexico; South America, principally offshore Brazil, and Trinidad and Tobago; Australia and Southeast Asia, including Malaysia, Indonesia, Myanmar and Vietnam; Europe, principally offshore the U.K., and Norway; East and West Africa; and the Mediterranean.
Maersk Drilling A/S is a Denmark-based company, which provides integrated offshore drilling rig services to oil and gas companies around the world in support of their exploration and production of oil and gas. The Company's owns more than 20 rigs including environment jack-up rigs, as well as deepwater drillships and deepwater semi-submersible rigs. The Company operates in Africa and Middle East, the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Norway and the North Sea.
Northern Drilling Ltd is a Bermuda-based drilling contractor, which owns a semi-submersible rig, HHI HE Semi 1, previously known as West Mira. HHI HE Semi 1 possesses water depth capacity of 10,000 foot and drilling depth equipped for 40,000 foot. The Company's shareholders comprise Hemen Holding Ltd, Morgan Stanley & Co. Int. Plc and State Street Bank and Trust Comp.
Odfjell Drilling Ltd. (Odfjell Drilling) is an integrated offshore drilling and oil service company. The Company operates through three segments: Mobile Offshore Drilling Units (MODU), Drilling & Technology, and Well Services. The Mobile Offshore Drilling Units is responsible for operations of mobile drilling units fully or partly owned by the Company and units owned by other companies. It operates mobile drilling units in Norway, United Kingdom, Angola, Vietnam and Brazil. The Drilling & Technology segment is providing platform drilling, project management and engineering services. Drilling & Technology operates from offices in Bergen, Stavanger and Aberdeen. The Well Services segment is a provider of casing and tubing running services (TRS), drill tool rental and well intervention services to the onshore and offshore oil and gas industry. The Well Services are provided to onshore and offshore drilling operations in the North Sea, mainland Europe and Black Sea, among others.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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