Borregaard (Buy, TP: NOK200.00) - Improving conditions for chemicals
We expect Borregaard to report a Q1 EPS of NOK2.0 (results due at 7:00 CET on 24 April), mostly in line with Q1 2023. We estimate the largest YOY change this year to be the absence of a NOK30m–40m loss on synthetic vanillin trading in Q1 2023. However, we expect lower bio-vanillin prices to lead to a corresponding NOK30m–40m lower result this year. Also, somewhat higher wood costs should be largely offset by higher volumes. The most recent comments from Borregaard and its chemical peers have suggested that the destocking from customers appears to have come to an end. We have made small estimate changes and reiterate our BUY and NOK200 target price.Borregaard is a supplier of specialized biochemicals for a global customer base. Co.'s main products are lignin-based products and specialty cellulose, but its product portfolio also extends to vanillin, bioethanol and fine chemicals. Co.'s products serve applications in a range of global end-markets including construction, agriculture, food and beverages, transportation and pharmaceuticals. Co.'s business model is closely linked to the integrated nature of its biorefinery in Norway, which utilizes the wood components to produce a portfolio of products. Co. operates in three business segments: Performance Chemicals, Specialty Cellulose and Other Businesses.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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