Rates on the rise, but we see risks
LNG spot rates are on the rise, up USD5k/day on Friday to USD72k/day, and we forecast a Q4 headline rate of USD130k/day. LNG prices are USD5.4/mmBtu YTD (-45% YOY) on record-high new LNG volumes combined with the top four importers reporting flat demand YOY. China and India risk being fully utilised on regas capacity in the high season and China is now storing up to reduce its dependence on LNG imports during the peak season at a time when the Russian pipeline is set to start, while Europe’s inventory is close to 100%. This could mean subdued LNG prices and a growing risk that the peak rate season could disappoint.
Golar LNG is a midstream liquefied natural gas (LNG) company based in Bermuda. Co. is engaged in the transportation, regasification, liquefaction and trading of LNG. Through its subsidiaries and affiliates, Co. is engaged in the acquisition, ownership, operation and chartering of LNG carriers and floating storage regasification units (FSRUs), and the development of liquefaction projects such as Floating Liquefaction Natural Gas Vessels. Co. owns and operates a fleet of 19 LNG carriers and seven FSRUs, and under management agreements operates Golar LNG Partner LP's fleet of six FSRUs and four LNG carriers.
Leif Hoegh & Co. is engaged as an international shipping company that offers transportation and logistics solutions for customers worldwide within selected industrial shipping segments. Co. is involved in the following segments: Ro/Ro, Liquified Natural Gas (LNG), Dry Bulk, Reefer Vessels, Open Hatch, and Hoegh Fleet Services (HFS). Co. operates a fleet of vessels within the deep sea and short sea segments, operating in the transportation of cars and high/heavy rolling stock. Co. operates LNG carriers employed on long-term contracts for the transportation of liquefied natural gas.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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