Report
Nicolay Dyvik

Set for solid H2; BUY Golden Ocean

Several data points indicate that H2 2018 should be a repeat of the last three years for dry bulk with Capesize rates in H2 averaging 86% above H1. Coal is on fire due to the shortage of clean alternatives, and is set to boost H2 on top of Vale’s ramp-up, as both coal and iron ore fundamentals look promising. We highlight Golden Ocean (BUY, TP NOK85) as our top pick.
Underlyings
Genco Shipping & Trading Ltd.

Golden Ocean Group Ltd

S Norden A/S

Dampskibsselskabet Norden is a holding company. Co., through its subsidiaries, is an internationally operating shipping group. Co. operates a fleet of 238 vessels. In dry cargo, Co. operates in Panamax and Handymax, in addition to growing activities in Handysize and Post-Panamax vessel types as well as activities in Capesize. In tankers, Co. activities comprise Handysize, MR and LR1 product tankers. Co.'s product tankers are commercially operated under the 50%-owned Norient Product Pool. Co.'s core fleet consists of owned vessels and vessels on long-term charter with purchase option, the core fleet is supplemented by vessels chartered on a short-term basis or for single voyages.

Safe Bulkers Inc.

Safe Bulkers is an international provider of marine drybulk transportation services, transporting bulk cargoes, particularly coal, grain and iron ore, along worldwide shipping routes for consumers of marine drybulk transportation services. As of Feb. 9, 2018, Co. had a fleet of 39 drybulk vessels, with an aggregate carrying capacity of 3,513,800 dwt and an average age of 7.6 years. Co. deploys its vessels on both period time charters and spot time charters. The vessels on period time charters provide Co. with relatively stable cash flow and utilization rates, while the vessels in the spot market allow Co. to maintain its flexibility in low charter market conditions.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Nicolay Dyvik

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