Report
Niclas Gehin
EUR 848.45 For Business Accounts Only

Steady yielders at a premium

The Nordic P&C insurers have seen their share prices appreciate c29% YTD, of which 26%-points stem from multiples expansion. We believe this premium pricing is linked to their stable dividend streams, low dependency on economic cycles, and relative safe-haven classification. While we find current valuations demanding, we struggle to identify any potential negative catalysts. The Q2 results look set to be relatively solid due to benign weather in the Nordics. We reiterate our HOLDs and continue to favour Sampo (HOLD, TP EUR44) as If… is trading at a considerable discount on 2020e P/E at 19x versus peers’ 21–25x.
Underlyings
Gjensidige Forsikring ASA

Gjensidige Forskring provides insurance products to private and commercial customers in Norway, Denmark, Sweden and the Baltic states. Co.'s activities are divided into six segments in addition to the asset management unit which manages Co.'s investment portfolio. The Private segment provides a range of general insurance products besides banking, savings and investment products. The Commercial segment provides a range of general insurance products to the commercial and municipality markets. Co.'s investment portfolio includes all investment funds in Co. except for investment funds in the Pension and Savings and Retail Bank segments. Co.'s other segments include Nordic and Baltics.

Sampo Oyj Class A

Co. is the parent company of a group engaged in the provision of insurance services and the marketing and sale of insurance policies such as worker's compensation insurance, personal accident insurance, motor vehicle insurance, motor third party liability insurance, fire and other property insurance; and cargo insurance.

Topdanmark A/S

Topdanmark A/S is a Denmark-based insurance company engaged in the insurance and pension fund business. The Company's activities are divided into such segments, as Personal, and SME (Small and Medium Enterprises) and Industrial. The Personal segment sells policies for individual households in Denmark. The SME and Industrial segment offers policies for Denmark-based SME, agricultural and industrial businesses. The Company's private insurance offering includes such insurance products, as home, vehicle, accident, pet, child and life and health insurance, as well as pension funds. Its corporate insurance offering includes property insurance, insurance of goods and equipment, and car insurance, among others. As of December 31, 2012, it had subsidiaries responsible for life and non-life insurance, as well as for asset management, investment and property-related activities.

Tryg A/S

Tryg is an insurance company, engaged in providing insurance services. Co.'s private segment encompasses the sale of insurance products to private individuals in Denmark and Norway. Co.'s commercial segment encompasses the sale of insurance products to small and medium-sized businesses in Denmark and Norway. Co.'s corporate segment sells insurance products to corporate customers under the brand Tryg in Denmark and Norway, Moderna in Sweden and Tryg Garanti. Co.'s Sweden segment comprises the sale of insurance products to private customers under the Moderna brand. Moreover, insurance is sold under the brands Atlantica, Bilsport & MC, Securator and Moderna Djurforsakringar.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Niclas Gehin

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch