HMS Networks (Buy, TP: SEK630.00) - US cheer eases balance sheet fear
The Q4 results provided a strong start to our 2025e earnings momentum case: 1) 23% order beat to Visible Alpha consensus, as organic orders grew YOY for the first time in 10 quarters; 2) the disputed Red Lion acquisition shows promise for US growth; 3) margin resilience demonstrated its quality characteristics; and 4) cash flows were strong, and accelerated actions to de-risk the balance sheet. We gain more confidence in our 2025 forecast for 93% adj. EPS growth YOY. We have raised our 2025e EBIT by 4% (16% above consensus) and our target price to SEK630 (600). BUY reiterated.HMS Networks AB (HMS) is a Sweden-based company engaged in the provision of communication technology for industrial automation. The Company provides solutions to connect industrial devices to networks and products enabling interconnection between different industrial networks. The Company's products are classified into two brands, namely Anybus and Netbiter. HMS, under the brand name Anybus, manufactures and markets intelligent communication technology for machines and electrically controlled equipment. Under the brand name Netbiter it develops and sells communication equipment that facilitates remote management through the Internet, either via the fixed telephony network or the mobile telephony network. The Company operates through numerous subsidiaries, including HMS Industrial Networks AB, IXXAT GmbH, a supplier of communication technology for industrial automation, machine manufacturing and the automotive industry, as well as eWON SA.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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