Cautious optimism ahead of Q2

-11% org. growth, partly due to normalised robotics sales. We see good prospects for improvements in Q2'24e. Lacking short-term triggers for re-rating, we reiterate HOLD.

Q1 figures roughly in line

Husqvarna (Sell, TP: SEK63.00) - Tough Q1 expected

We forecast weak consumer demand, lower volumes, negative mix, high robotics comparables, and a partial exit from its combustion engine business (worth cSEK750m of sales) to weigh on sales and EBIT in Q1, with market dynamics and a consumer environment similar to H2 2023. We forecast a Q1 sales decline of 9% YOY and an adj. EBIT margin of 11.4%, down 260bp YOY. We reiterate our SELL and SEK63 target price.

Valmet (Buy, TP: EUR30.00) - Q1 on the weak side

Following a mixed but negatively skewed overall Q1, we have lowered our 2024–2026e clean EPS by c4% on average. We reiterate our BUY and EUR30 target price.

Komplett (Hold, TP: NOK10.00) - Challenging market set to persist

The Q1 report was weak, as revenues were badly hit by a challenging market, which looks set to persist near-term. We reiterate our HOLD and have cut our target price to NOK10 (12) on negative estimate revisions. At our new target price, the stock would be trading at a 2026e P/E of c5x, which we find to be warranted given the subdued market outlook and weak balance sheet.

XXL ASA (No_rec, TP: NOK) - Weak Q1, but better than forecast

XXL reported weak Q1 results, albeit slightly better than expected, as it continues to underperform in a challenging market. On a positive note, the company continues to make progress on its strategic initiatives and has improved its financial position following the private placement. We have cut our 2024–2025e EBITDA by 21–13% on slightly revised revenue and margin assumptions.