ICA (Sell, TP: SEK380.00) - The pressure is on
We reiterate our SELL and have cut our target price to SEK380 (390) on a more bearish near-term outlook, driven by intensified competition and worsening Covid-19 headwinds persisting for longer. These factors drove Friday’s sell-off and the stock closed down 6% despite the Q3 report slightly beating consensus. The valuation still looks stretched and we see material downside risk with the stock trading at a 2021e P/E of 21.1x.ICA Gruppen is a retail group based in Sweden. Co. is engaged in maintaining and operating its own and retailer-owned stores in Sweden, Norway, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Finland. Co. consists of ICA Sweden, ICA Norway and Rimi Baltic, which are mainly involved in grocery retail, ICA Real Estate which owns and manages properties, and ICA Bank which offers financial services to Swedish customers. Co. also includes the wholly-owned portfolio companies Forma Publishing Group and inkClub, as well as the partly-owned Cervera, Hemtex and Kjell & Company.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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