Initiating coverage of Metso (BUY), FLSmidth (BUY) and Outotec (HOLD)
We initiate coverage of Metso with a BUY and EUR33 target price, FLSmidth with a BUY and DKK410 target price, and Outotec with a HOLD and EUR7.4 target price. All three are benefiting from growth in global mining capex. We expect large mining investments to pick up in 2018–2019 and are generally above consensus for their mining divisions’ growth. We expect orders to grow to 70–80% of the previous peak by 2020. Metso is our top sector pick, as it has the best earnings growth prospects compared to its current valuation.FLSmidth & Co. is a supplier of equipment and services to the global cement and minerals industries with a local presence in 50 countries including project and technology centers in Denmark, India, USA and Germany. Co. supplies everything from single machinery to complete cement plants and minerals processing solutions including services before, during and after the construction. Co.'s in-house resources are primarily engineers who develop, plan, design, install and service equipment, with most of the manufacturing being outsourced to subcontractors.
Outotec is a global provider of process solutions, technologies and services for the mining and metallurgical industries organized in four divisions. The Minerals Processing division provides concentrator plants, process solutions and services for ore concentration, the minerals and fertilizer industry, energy sector and water treatment. The Base Metals division provides metallurgical processing technology for copper, nickel, zinc, precious metals and ferroalloys. The Metals Processing division develops and supplies technologies and services for the production of iron, alumina, aluminum and synthetic rutile. Larox develops and delivers industrial filters for separating solids from liquids.
Metso is a global services, products and systems provider. Co. serves its customers in mining, oil and gas as well as aggregates industries. Co. serves also some other process industries, such as pulp and paper industry. Co.'s offerings to the mining industry include grinding mills, mill linings and grinding media; as well as crushers and screens. Co.'s offerings to the aggregates industry include crushers; as well as screens, feeders and conveyors. Co.'s offerings to the oil and gas industry include control valves, on-off valves; intelligent safety valves; intelligent valve controllers and limit switches; intelligent field services; spare and wear parts; as well as performance services.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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