Another feeding frenzy for the short base

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/05/2024

European equity markets weakened in October following multiple disappointments across the earnings season. The impending US election, the outcome of which is highly uncertain according to the polls, may also have prompted some traders to adopt a cautious stance. Sovereign long rates rose sharply, particularly in the US, on the back of macro indicators likely to provide arguments to the most hawkish of central bankers. All eyes are now on the November 5 elections and their repercussion...

Bakkafrost (Hold, TP: NOK660.00) - Big miss in Q3, but good biomass

Bakkafrost reported operating EBIT of DKK173m, c31–40% below our estimates and consensus on higher costs in both farming regions. The good quality of standing biomass gives reason to be optimistic on size and price premium into the winter. Thus, we have increased our EPS for 2025e by 9.6%, but cut our 2026e by 2.3% on slower margin recovery in Scotland. We reiterate our HOLD and NOK660 target price.

Boozt (Hold, TP: SEK115.00) - Q3 miss highlights Q4 uncertainty

Despite the weak Q3 results, management reiterated its full-year guidance, implying a strong finish to the year. However, given its YTD performance and Q4 facing very tough YOY comparables, we see a risk of Boozt missing the mid-point of its adj. EBIT guidance (we expect it to be at the bottom end). We reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to SEK115 (120), mainly on our lower estimates.