NRC Group (Hold, TP: NOK3.20) - No EBIT margin catalysts in sight
We believe NRC remains a high-risk EBIT margin recovery case (with potentially high returns). However, based on the 2024 guidance and its Q1s being low season from winter effects, we expect no signs of an EBIT margin recovery until Q2 2025 at the earliest. Also, given NRC’s track record, numerous quarters of profit recovery may be needed for the share to reprice. In an M&A scenario, due to its low EV/sales, we could see upside potential, but this is not our base case. On our updated forecasts (new share count), we reiterate our HOLD, but have reduced our target price to NOK3.2 (6).NRC Group collects, processes and sells map data. Co. provides services to the Norwegian market, but focuses mainly on projects abroad. Co.'s geo server, BlomURBEX®, enables online distribution of Co.'s products and databases to its customers. The content of BlomURBEX® consists of Co.'s oblique aerial images, TerraItaly® database and 3D city models. Co.'s operations are divided into two main business areas: Blom Geo Engineering Services, which collects and produces geographic information; and Blom Information Services, which provides geographic information as standardized services or through applications adapted to various uses and platforms.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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