Report
Simen Mortensen
EUR 87.40 For Business Accounts Only

NRC Group (Sell, TP: NOK20.00) - The bear case has materialised

NRC just issued a profit warning for Q4 and 2021e, now guiding for preliminary 2020e results of an EBITA of NOK50m, or an 0.8% margin, well below the guided 1.5%. It has also cut its EBITA guidance for 2021e to an EBITA margin of 1.75–2.5% on a low order book in the Civil operation in Norway and in Sweden (as mentioned in our initial preview). In our view, this manifests the bear case in NRC, as NRC has failed to raise its margin. Therefore, we have downgraded from BUY to SELL and have cut our target price from NOK35 to NOK20 as 2021e, much like 2020e, has now been written off as a recovery year for NRC.
Underlying
NRC Group ASA

NRC Group collects, processes and sells map data. Co. provides services to the Norwegian market, but focuses mainly on projects abroad. Co.'s geo server, BlomURBEX®, enables online distribution of Co.'s products and databases to its customers. The content of BlomURBEX® consists of Co.'s oblique aerial images, TerraItaly® database and 3D city models. Co.'s operations are divided into two main business areas: Blom Geo Engineering Services, which collects and produces geographic information; and Blom Information Services, which provides geographic information as standardized services or through applications adapted to various uses and platforms.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Simen Mortensen

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