Odfjell SE Minor model adjustments
We have tweaked our estimates ahead of the Q1 results (due after market close on 7 May), expecting marginally higher costs QOQ from the initial disruption in the Red Sea, and edged up our 2024–2026e revenues. We still forecast strong TCE earnings for Chemical Tankers going forward due to solid fundamentals, further supported by Stolt-Nielsen’s guidance for a 6–8% average increase QOQ in TCE in Q2. Hence, we calculate an average 22% earnings yield for Odfjell for 2024–2025, leaving a 11% dividend yield applying the company’s 50% dividend policy, which we believe looks attractive. We do not consider these changes to be material, and we have not changed our BUY recommendation. We have raised our target price from NOK185 to NOK193.Odfjell is engaged in the global market for transportation and storage of chemicals and other specialty bulk liquids, LPG/Ethylene products as well as a provider of related logistical services. Co.'s principal business is the transportation and storage of organic and inorganic bulk liquid chemicals, acids, animal fats, edible oils, potable alcohols, LPG/Ethylene and clean petroleum products. Co. has three reportable business segments: Chemical Tankers, which involve the servicing ports around the world; Tank Terminals, which engaged in cargo-consolidation programme in combined shipping and storage services; and LPG/ Ethylene, which Co. owns two carriers, Bow Guardian and Bow Gallant.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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