Report
Martin Arnell
EUR 91.17 For Business Accounts Only

Paradox Interactive (Buy, TP: SEK290.00) - BUY quality on weakness

We believe investors should look beyond a likely weak Q3 and focus on the growth opportunities from a busy release window from Q4 and onwards, with the release of ‘Cities: Skylines 2’ a key event. We have cut our 2023e EBIT by 15% (non-cash writedown announced on 10 October), but only fine-tuned our 2024e. The recent poor share price performance relating to a soft Q3e (with few releases) has created a buying opportunity, in our view; hence, we have upgraded to BUY (HOLD), but with a reduced target price of SEK290 (300).
Underlying
Paradox Interactive AB

Paradox Interactive AB (publ) is a Sweden-based company engaged in the development and publishing of personal computer (PC)-based strategy games. The Company's portfolio includes PC franchises such as Europa Universalis, Crusader Kings, Victoria and the Hearts of Iron series, as well as titles on other platforms such as Lead and Gold: Gangs of the Wild West released on PlayStationNetwork for the PlayStation3 and Defenders of Ardania on iPad as well as PC. Paradox Interactive has offices in Umea and Stockholm, Sweden. Additionally, the Company works with a number of distributors worldwide and is present on several digital download portals. It owns numerous subsidiaries, among which is Triumph Studios.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Martin Arnell

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