SAS (Buy, TP: SEK27.00) - Yield trend in the right direction, but fuel hits estimates
SAS’s Q1 results are due at 08:00 CET on 27 February. We forecast Q1 EBT down YOY in line with guidance of higher losses YOY, driven by higher fuel costs YOY and underlying inflation being offset by the ongoing cost programme. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to SEK27 (30) to reflect negative estimate revisions as a higher load and yield trend is offset by increased costs mainly related to higher fuel prices and the recent SEK depreciation.SAS is engaged in providing transportation services. The core business of Co. is operating passenger flights on a Nordic and international route network. Co.'s three main operational hubs in Copenhagen, Stockholm and Oslo form the backbone of its flight network. In addition to passenger flights, Co. provides air cargo and other aviation services at selected airports in its route network. Co.'s operations include Scandinavian Airlines. In addition to the airline operations of the consortium Scandinavian Airlines System, Scandinavian Airlines also comprises ground operations, technical operations, SAS Cargo and Blue1. Scandinavian Airlines includes SAS Cargo and SAS Ground Handling.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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