Report
Jon Masdal
EUR 88.42 For Business Accounts Only

Scatec Solar (Sell, TP: NOK190.00) - Expectation versus reality mismatch

Ahead of the Q3 results, we forecast proportionate EBITDA of NOK379m versus consensus at NOK402m. Near-term we consider Ukraine construction the main risk, as it could lower our NAV/share by NOK5–7, though this is not our base case. With a 110% core NAV premium, Scatec is pricing in all-time-high growth expectations, despite no project awards in 2020 and a diminishing backlog. We have downgraded to SELL (HOLD), but raised our target price to NOK190 (160).
Underlying
Scatec ASA

Scatec Solar ASA is a Norway-based integrated independent solar power producer. It develops, builds, owns, operates and maintains solar power plants, and has several projects under development in Africa, the United States, Japan, Brazil the Middle East and Europe. The Company has three operating business segments: Power Production (PP), Operation & Maintenance (O&M), and Development & Construction (D&C). The PP segment comprises the Kalkbult and Linde plants in South Africa, the ASYV plant in Rwanda and four plants in the Czech Republic. The O&M includes services provided to solar power plants in which Scatec Solar participates or to third party plants constructed by the Company. The D&C comprises development activities as well as construction of solar power plants developed by Scatec Solar.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Jon Masdal

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