Skanska (Buy, TP: SEK230.00) - Q1 miss, but underlying solid
Q1 EBIT missed Infront consensus and our forecast, mainly due to a couple of one-off charges. Order intake was broadly as we expected, but sales and starts in Residential Development (RD) beat our forecasts despite Boklok still struggling with profitability. However, given market expectations of falling interest rates, we expect divestments of commercial assets to increase. We have cut our 2024e EPS by c5% on the Q1 writedowns, but raised our 2024–2026e EPS on an improved residential outlook. With a large discount to our SOTP, we reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK230 (225).Skanska is a project development and construction group, concentrated on selected home markets in the Nordic region, European countries and in the Americas. Co.'s business streams are: construction, which includes building and civil construction; residential development, which develops residential projects for immediate sale; commercial property development, which initiates, develops, leases and divests commercial property projects, with project development focusing on office buildings, retail and logistics properties; and infrastructure development, engaged in identifying, developing and investing in privately financed infrastructure projects, such as highways, hospitals and schools.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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