Skanska (Sell, TP: SEK167.00) - Developing a balance sheet risk
Ahead of the Q3 results due on 7 November at 08:00 CET, we expect sales in CD (Commercial Development) to beat Bloomberg consensus. We have raised our forecasts for this division, the biggest contributor to our SOTP, on falling market interest rates and yields, and high P/NAVs in REITs globally. A high valuation and downside risk to consensus EPS 2020-2021e; makes us reiterate our SELL, but we have raised our target price to SEK167 (154) on higher forecasts and peer valuation.Skanska is a project development and construction group, concentrated on selected home markets in the Nordic region, European countries and in the Americas. Co.'s business streams are: construction, which includes building and civil construction; residential development, which develops residential projects for immediate sale; commercial property development, which initiates, develops, leases and divests commercial property projects, with project development focusing on office buildings, retail and logistics properties; and infrastructure development, engaged in identifying, developing and investing in privately financed infrastructure projects, such as highways, hospitals and schools.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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