Report
Håkon Astrup
EUR 92.33 For Business Accounts Only

Sparebanken Øst (Hold, TP: NOK51.00) - Enhanced NII momentum

Helped by further NII expansion and low loan losses, SPOG reported a Q3 ROE of ~10%, above its 9% target. With an end-Q3 CET1 ratio of 19.9% versus its lowered >15.62% internal target, we see scope for a combined 2023–2025e dividend yield of ~34% (~99% payout ratios). We have raised our 2024–2025e EPS by ~4–5%, driven by higher NII, and edged up our target price to NOK51 (49). That said, with the stock trading at a 2024e P/E of ~8.8x, we still see a more attractive risk/reward elsewhere in the sector, and reiterate our HOLD.
Underlying
Sparebanken Ost ASA

Sparebanken Ost (the Bank) is a Norway-based regional bank. The Bank is engaged in the provision of both banking and financial products and services to individuals and businesses. The Bank's primary market area is the lower part of Buskerud county and the Drammen region. Its product and service offering includes loans, cards, payment services, savings accounts, pension funds, life and non-life insurance, investment services and foreign exchange. As of December 31, 2011, the Bank had such subsidiaries, as Sparebanken Ost Boligkredit AS, a mortgage company; AS Financiering, a car financing company; Sparebanken Ost Eiendom AS, which was engaged in real estate development and operations, and Ost Prosjekt AS, a subsidiary supporting the Bank's activities. As of December 31, 2011, the Bank's largest shareholder was MP Pensjon (9.89%).

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Håkon Astrup

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