Report
Jimi Lehtonen
EUR 932.77 For Business Accounts Only

More than paper profits

We initiate coverage with a BUY and EUR33 target price, as we like UPM’s near-term pricing outlook for paper and labelling products and believe pulp weakness is well reflected in consensus and the share price. We are also positive on UPM’s ability to structurally improve its earnings through transformative growth investments, and see ample room to raise its dividends while retaining a strong balance sheet during the capex cycle.
Underlyings
Stora Enso Oyj Class R

Stora Enso is a provider of renewable solutions in packaging, biomaterials, wooden constructions and paper on global markets. Co.'s reporting segments are: Consumer Board, which develops and provides consumer packaging boards for printing and packaging applications; Packaging Solutions, which develops fibre-based packaging; Biomaterials, which provides a variety of pulp grades for paper, board, tissue, textile and hygiene product producers; Wood Products, which provides wood-based solutions for building and housing; Paper, which provides paper solutions for print media and office use; as well as Other, which includes Co.'s shareholding in the energy company, Pohjolan Voima.

UPM-Kymmene Oyj

UPM-Kymmene is a global paper and forest products group, mainly engaged in the production of paper, with an emphasis on the manufacture and sale of printing and writing papers. Co.'s operations comprise of these segments: UPM Biorefining, UPM Energy, UPM Raflatac, UPM Paper Asia, UPM Paper ENA, UPM Plywood and Other. UPM Biocomposites, UPM Biochemicals business units and Group services are reported in Other operations. Co.'s activities are centred in European Union countries, North and South America and Asia with production plants in 13 countries.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Jimi Lehtonen

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