Report
Martin Arnell
EUR 169.73 For Business Accounts Only

Swedish Match (Hold, TP: SEK445.00) - Decent earnings but regulation risks

We expect decent Q4 earnings (due at 08:15 CET on 13 February) with further margin improvement in the Snus and moist snuff segment supported by healthier earnings in the international snus business. Timing and actions by the FDA on a potential ban on flavoured cigars remains unclear. We have fine-tuned our estimates but reduced our target price to SEK445 (470) to better reflect the risk of the potential US flavoured cigar ban, as well as lower sector multiples as of late. We reiterate our HOLD.
Underlying
Swedish Match AB

Swedish Match develops, manufactures, markets, and sells snus and snuff, other tobacco products (cigars and chewing tobacco), and lights (matches and lighters). Snus and snuff are smokeless tobacco products that are produced and sold primarily in Sweden, Norway and the U.S. Other tobacco products represent cigars and chewing tobacco manufactured and sold on the U.S. market. Lights include manufacturing and distribution of matches and lighters. Other operations are primarily the distribution of tobacco products on the Swedish market. Primary brands include General snus, Longhorn moist snuff, White Owl cigars, Red Man chewing tobacco, Fiat Lux matches, and Cricket lighters.

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Martin Arnell

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