Tomra (Sell, TP: NOK95.00) - Headwinds for Recycling
Recycling reported disappointing Q1 adj. EBITA of NOK7m on lower revenues, which also hurt margins. Given the solid order intake – a bright spot in the report – we have only reduced our 2025–2026e EPS by 3–4%. We struggle to justify the 2024e P/E of 39x (similar to the ‘Magnificent 7’, with ~20% average annual growth rates) coupled with 2024e revenue growth of only ~3–4% and risk to 2025–2026e growth from potential delays in Poland and the UK’s DRS implementations. We reiterate our SELL and NOK95 target price.Tomra Systems is a creator of sensor-based solutions for optimal resource productivity within the business streams of reverse vending, material recovery, compaction, recycling, mining, and food. Co.'s operating structure comprises two business areas and six business streams. The TOMRA Collection Solutions businesss area consists of three business streams: reverse vending, material recovery, as well as compaction. The TOMRA Sorting Solutions, business area consists of three business streams: food, recycling, and mining.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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