Topdanmark (Hold, TP: DKK285.00) - Not what we expected
Topdanmark reported a soft Q3 with EPS 15% below consensus, driven by a weaker underwriting result. In addition, the company provided soft 2021 guidance and left us concerned about future run-off levels. We have reduced our estimates to reflect current trends and the new guidance, and have lowered our 2021e EPS by 6% and 2022e EPS by 3%. As a result, we have cut our target price to DKK285 (DKK315), but we reiterate our HOLD.Topdanmark A/S is a Denmark-based insurance company engaged in the insurance and pension fund business. The Company's activities are divided into such segments, as Personal, and SME (Small and Medium Enterprises) and Industrial. The Personal segment sells policies for individual households in Denmark. The SME and Industrial segment offers policies for Denmark-based SME, agricultural and industrial businesses. The Company's private insurance offering includes such insurance products, as home, vehicle, accident, pet, child and life and health insurance, as well as pension funds. Its corporate insurance offering includes property insurance, insurance of goods and equipment, and car insurance, among others. As of December 31, 2012, it had subsidiaries responsible for life and non-life insurance, as well as for asset management, investment and property-related activities.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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