Trelleborg (Hold, TP: SEK380.00) - Close to fairly valued in our view
We forecast Q1 sales of SEK8,546m (-1% organic growth YOY) and adj. EBITA of SEK1,479m. We have raised our 2024–2026e adj. EBITA by c9% on average, on the inclusion of the Baron acquisition, our more positive view on the general industrial cycle, and FX movements. We have increased our target price to SEK380 (350) based on our estimate changes and current multiples. However, on our view of limited upside potential and following incremental increases in the valuation (absolutely and relative to other Capital Goods stocks), we reiterate our HOLD. The Q1 results are due at 13:00 CET on 24 April.Trelleborg AB provides engineered polymer solutions. Co. has five business areas: Trelleborg Coated Systems, which supplies solutions for polymer-coated fabrics; Trelleborg Industrial Solutions, which provides polymer-based solutions for industrial antivibration solutions and industrial sealing systems; Trelleborg Offshore & Construction, which supplies polymer-based solutions used in offshore oil and gas and infrastructure construction environments; Trelleborg Sealing Solutions, which supplies polymer-based sealing solutions deployed in general industry, light vehicle and aerospace environments; and Trelleborg Wheel Systems, which supplies tires and wheels for materials handling vehicles.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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