Report
Martin Huseby Karlsen
EUR 88.68 For Business Accounts Only

Valaris (Buy, TP: USD95.00) - More realistic consensus for 2024e

We estimate Q3 EBITDA of USD47m, largely in line with Bloomberg consensus (USD51m) and the guidance (USD50m–55m). While we remain below consensus for 2024–2025e, consensus 2024e EBITDA has been revised 25% lower in recent months. As we believe investors are prepared for further estimate revisions, near-term earnings expectations have been reset, which could help its shares find a trough. With cycle-duration building, we gradually expect increased focus on 2026e. We reiterate our BUY and USD95 target price based on a discount to our NAV of USD109/share due to a delayed earnings profile versus peers.
Underlying
VALARIS LTD

Provider
DnB Markets
DnB Markets

DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.

 

Analysts
Martin Huseby Karlsen

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