Yara (Buy, TP: NOK425.00) - Q1 disappoints the market
While the Q1 results disappointed the market, we consider a ~USD70m–120m EBITDA miss to be within a normal standard deviation and have made only minor estimate changes. Yara’s share price in dollar terms (USD29) is among its lowest since 2010, yet consensus earnings forecasts are at normalised levels. We believe this reflects investor fears it will act irrationally with its capex (NIBD/EBITDA of 2.3x does not give it the muscle to carry out the announced blue ammonia investments). While we hear these concerns, we believe Yara will adapt accordingly. We find the 2025e P/E of 9x attractive and reiterate our BUY and NOK425 target price.Yara International is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. converts energy, natural minerals and nitrogen from the air into products for farmers and industrial customers. Co. provides mineral fertilizers, industrial products and environmental products and services to its customers. Its mineral fertilizer portfolio, sold as five main brands (YaraMila, YaraLiva, YaraVita, YaraBela, YaraVera) represents a range of crop nutrients. Its industrial portfolio contains a range of nitrogen chemicals as well as CO2 and dry ice. Its environmental product and services reduce NOx emissions, control unpleasant odor, prevent toxic gases, avoid corrosion and improve water quality.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Browse all ResearchPool reportsReport is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.