Yara (Buy, TP: NOK450.00) - More shareholder returns this year
Yara reported Q2 results largely in line with consensus and our expectations. The focus was on the company’s comments regarding a likely closure of the Qafco divestment in 2–3 weeks, a 5% buyback programme conditional upon the sale, and the possibility of further cash returns in H2. We consider it likely the buyback programme will be complemented by a USD1.75 extraordinary DPS in H2, leaving the NIBD/EBITDA in the middle of the guided range of 1.5-2.0x. We have made only minor changes to our EBITDA estimates, and reiterate our BUY and NOK450 target price.Yara International is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. converts energy, natural minerals and nitrogen from the air into products for farmers and industrial customers. Co. provides mineral fertilizers, industrial products and environmental products and services to its customers. Its mineral fertilizer portfolio, sold as five main brands (YaraMila, YaraLiva, YaraVita, YaraBela, YaraVera) represents a range of crop nutrients. Its industrial portfolio contains a range of nitrogen chemicals as well as CO2 and dry ice. Its environmental product and services reduce NOx emissions, control unpleasant odor, prevent toxic gases, avoid corrosion and improve water quality.
DNB Markets is the investment banking arm of DNB Bank ASA and is focused primarily on the Nordic region, as well as internationally on niches such as global shipping, energy and related services, and seafood. DNB Markets offers services in FICC, Equities and Investment Banking advisory from offices in Oslo, Stockholm, London, Singapore and New York. Equity research coverage is offered on c250 Nordic companies. DNB was ranked no.2 in Extel Nordic Research 2017. The DNB Markets’ Credit and FICC Macro & FX Research teams are repeatedly highly rated by Prospera Nordic Institutional Investor Surveys.
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