Report
Peter Warburton ...
  • Tom Traill

6 per cent global nominal GDP growth is a big deal

Over the past 2 years, the pace of nominal GDP growth has picked up almost everywhere. By our reckoning, weighting the local currency data for 53 countries by economic size, global nominal incomes are  6 per cent higher than a year ago. This compares to a 4 per cent annual gain recorded in the final quarter of 2015. A 6 per cent world looks very different to a 4 per cent world: rising inflation rates of wages,  profits and natural resources can coexist. Debt burdens are alleviated more quickly.  Even government budget deficits look a little less threatening. 

Provider
Economic Perspectives
Economic Perspectives

Economic Perspectives is a trusted provider of global macroeconomic and financial research with clients in North America, Asia and the UK.

EP research weaves complex and diverse information into coherent macro narratives, providing clear analysis and original market insights for global investors. Our clients benefit from our long experience in connecting economic developments with the credit and financial market outlook.

The analysis of developments in global private sector credit markets is fundamental to our understanding of the global economic and financial outlook. However, the actions and interventions of central banks and government have become increasingly important to our economic assessment.

For several years we have maintained that the only credible resolution of the 2008 global credit crisis is a resurgence of global inflation. We take an eclectic approach to the inflation outlook, considering political and socio-economic factors alongside macroeconomic drivers. We provide the multi-dimensional appraisal of the inflation outlook that is critical to formulating a successful investment strategy, at a time when inflation complacency is rife.

We offer our research on a subscription basis or as a bespoke consultancy service. Our publications reflect our research agenda, shaped by the issues raised in client meetings. Our bespoke work tackles research projects of particular interest to our clients and is delivered as written reports or presentations.

Analysts
Peter Warburton

Tom Traill

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