Report
Liseth Galvis-Corfe ...
  • Peter Warburton
  • Tom Traill
  • Yvan Berthoux
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Plenty of scope for a spike in real yields

The global economy entered 2018 with strong momentum and is well able to withstand higher real short- and long-term interest rates. Potentially, benchmark government yields have further to travel, specifically, we think US yields could reach 3.75 per cent. The slowing in broad money aggregates is not indicative of slower nominal GDP growth.

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Economic Perspectives
Economic Perspectives

Economic Perspectives is a trusted provider of global macroeconomic and financial research with clients in North America, Asia and the UK.

EP research weaves complex and diverse information into coherent macro narratives, providing clear analysis and original market insights for global investors. Our clients benefit from our long experience in connecting economic developments with the credit and financial market outlook.

The analysis of developments in global private sector credit markets is fundamental to our understanding of the global economic and financial outlook. However, the actions and interventions of central banks and government have become increasingly important to our economic assessment.

For several years we have maintained that the only credible resolution of the 2008 global credit crisis is a resurgence of global inflation. We take an eclectic approach to the inflation outlook, considering political and socio-economic factors alongside macroeconomic drivers. We provide the multi-dimensional appraisal of the inflation outlook that is critical to formulating a successful investment strategy, at a time when inflation complacency is rife.

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Analysts
Liseth Galvis-Corfe

Peter Warburton

Tom Traill

Yvan Berthoux

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