Eddie Stobart Logistics - Forecasts reduced, material value upside remains
We prudently cut our FY19 and FY20 EBIT forecasts for Eddie Stobart Logistics (ESL) by 5% and 6% respectively post the H1 trading update highlighting solid revenue growth, but EBIT at the low end of management expectations and a 4% downward revision to the last reported adjusted EBIT. Despite this, our forecast FY19 EBIT margin remains at the top end of logistics peers and, even on our revised numbers, the stock is trading at a significant discount to peers, offering an attractive c 9% dividend yield.Eddie Stobart is a logistics and supply chain organization in the UK. From its headquarters in Warrington, operating 2,200 vehicles, 3,800 trailers and 24 distribution centres throughout the UK and Europe. Co. operates its business across the following core sectors: E-Commerce - covering online retailers and omni-channel retailers; Manufacturing, Industrial & Bulk - includes movement of raw materials and components used in manufacturing processes; Consumer includes the movement of manufactured products; and Retail covers the retail supply chain, operating from either a retailer's supplier or a retailer's own distribution centers, from where goods are transported to a retailer's outlets.
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