Report
David O'Brien

A logical deal that is EPS accretive

Xpediator has acquired Nidd Transport Ltd (“Nidd”), a freight forwarder and operator based in Ripon. With a strong network across the North of the UK plus France, Spain, Germany and Italy, Nidd fills many of the gaps in Xpediator’s European network. We expect substantial cross-selling benefits between the two customer bases. The trailing multiple paid appears very reasonable, considering the net cash and strong asset base of the acquired vehicle.

In the year to April 2020, Nidd generated revenues of £11.0m, EBIT of £0.5m and PAT of £0.4m. The consideration amounted to £4.6m payable from the Group’s resources (net cash as of June 2020 was £4.3m). The price/sales multiple of 0.4x looks very reasonable, with the historic PER of 6.5x, net of Nidd’s £2m of cash. Moreover, a sizeable freehold property (Group tendency for leasehold), valued at £2.1m could further reduce the historic PER should a sale & leaseback occur.

We believe the acquisition represents a good opportunity to upsell Nidd’s customer base (and vice-versa) with an increased number of routes and services and, significantly, greater visibility in a post-Brexit world, particularly in terms of customs clearance. Management has also stated that Nidd will be EPS accretive from day one.

To us, this looks a very sensible acquisition. A share price modestly above the June ’20 NAV/share of 20p fails to recognise the progress management has made to date on both costs and enhancing growth prospects.
Underlyings
Clipper Logistics plc

Kuehne & Nagel International AG

Kuehne & Nagel International is a holding company, engaged in providing logistics solutions. Co.'s business units comprised of: Seafreight, Airfreight, Overland, and Contract logistics. Co. operates on a worldwide basis in the following geographical areas: Europe, Americas, Asia-Pacific and Middle East, Central Asia and Africa. Within its Seafreight, Airfreight and Overland business units, Co. is engaged in purchasing transportation services from direct (asset-based) carriers and selling a combination of those services to its customers. Co. also develops solutions for the construction, renovation and operation of hotel chains and casinos all over the world.

Logistics Development Group

Eddie Stobart is a logistics and supply chain organization in the UK. From its headquarters in Warrington, operating 2,200 vehicles, 3,800 trailers and 24 distribution centres throughout the UK and Europe. Co. operates its business across the following core sectors: E-Commerce - covering online retailers and omni-channel retailers; Manufacturing, Industrial & Bulk - includes movement of raw materials and components used in manufacturing processes; Consumer includes the movement of manufactured products; and Retail covers the retail supply chain, operating from either a retailer's supplier or a retailer's own distribution centers, from where goods are transported to a retailer's outlets.

Stobart Group Limited

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
David O'Brien

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