Stride Gaming - RGD marginally higher than expected
The UK government has raised remote gaming duty (RGD) from 15% to 21%. This was better than recent rumours of 25%, but 1% higher than market expectations of 20%. With implementation from October 2019 (rather than April), we raise our FY19e EBITDA by 5%. However, assuming no mitigation, we lower our FY20e EBITDA by £3m to £14.5m. While regulatory pressures are likely to remain a feature of the UK gaming sector, Stride is the number three online bingo-led operator and should benefit from its strong market position. The balance sheet is robust (£20m net cash) and, despite the increased taxes, we expect strong cash flow through synergies and strategic growth. The stock has fallen 58% this year and trades at depressed levels of 3.6x EV/EBITDA and 5.8x P/E for CY19e.Stride Gaming is an online gaming operator in online bingo, slot gaming and social gaming mobile applications. Co. operates a multi-branded multi-platform strategy to complement its own proprietary and acquired software. Co. focuses on the U.K. market for online bingo market and with its social gaming market reaches internationally with a focus on the North American market. Co. owns 105 brands of games, including the online bingo brands Kitty Bingo, Lucky Pants Bingo, Bingo Extra, Jackpot CafA(c) and Jackpot Liner, King Jackpot, together with the online casino brands Spin and Win, Magical Vegas and Big Top.
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