reports
Form 8.3 - Chelverton UK Dividend Trust plc: Stride Gaming Plc
Chelverton UK Dividend Trust plc (SDVP) Form 8.3 - Chelverton UK Dividend Trust plc: Stride Gaming Plc 24-Jun-2019 / 17:06 GMT/BST Dissemination of a Regulatory Announcement, transmitted by EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. FORM 8.3  PUBLIC OPENING POSITION DISCLOSURE/DEALING DISCLOSURE BY A PERSON WITH INTERESTS IN RELEVANT SECURITIES REPRESENTING 1% OR MORE Rule 8.3 of the Takeover Code (the "Code")  1. KEY INFORMATION  (a) Identity of the person whose positions/dealings are being disclosed: MI Chelverton UK E...
- Victoria Pease
Stride Gaming - Recommended cash offer from Rank
Rank Group has made a recommended £115.3m cash offer for Stride Gaming, which equates to an EV of £93.4m. Using the run-rate H119 EBITDA, the deal is valued at c 7.5x EV/EBITDA. The offer of 151p per share is a 29% premium to the previous day’s closing price. Irrevocable commitments have been received by 61.3% of Stride’s shareholders and completion is anticipated in Q319.
- Neil Shah
Stride Gaming - Suspension of estimates
For the purposes of the Takeover Code, Edison Investment Research is deemed to be connected with Stride Gaming. Under Rule 20.1 Edison must not include any profit forecast, quantified financial benefits statement, asset valuation or estimate of other figures key to the offer, except to the extent that such forecasts, statements, valuations or estimates have been published prior to the offer period (as defined in the Takeover Code) by an offeror or the offeree company (as appropriate) in accordan...
- Victoria Pease
Stride Gaming - Trading broadly in line
Stride’s AGM confirmed that trading for the current financial year has been broadly in line, despite well documented regulatory headwinds. To counterbalance rising gaming taxes and other sector pressures, the group is implementing numerous cost-cutting initiatives, which will be key to hitting our FY19 EBITDA estimate. Looking ahead, we expect growth to resume in FY20 (once many regulatory burdens have been lapped) and we believe Stride will take market share within a disrupted industry. Cash ...
- Victoria Pease
Stride Gaming - Strong cash flow and special dividend
Stride’s FY18 results statement was dominated by the impact of recent regulatory news, as well as by the decision to significantly increase cash payouts. Our FY19 estimates now reflect a £7.1m fine for procedural failings (vs £4m previously), as well an additional five months of higher remote gaming duty (RGD), which equates to a one-off hit of £2.5m. None of this affects FY20 and, given Stride’s competitive positioning, we believe it should achieve market share gains and we raise our FY2...
- Victoria Pease
Stride Gaming - RGD marginally higher than expected
The UK government has raised remote gaming duty (RGD) from 15% to 21%. This was better than recent rumours of 25%, but 1% higher than market expectations of 20%. With implementation from October 2019 (rather than April), we raise our FY19e EBITDA by 5%. However, assuming no mitigation, we lower our FY20e EBITDA by £3m to £14.5m. While regulatory pressures are likely to remain a feature of the UK gaming sector, Stride is the number three online bingo-led operator and should benefit from its str...
- Victoria Pease
Stride Gaming - Focusing on synergies and strategic growth
Stride’s FY18 trading update confirms the widely reported headwinds facing the UK bingo-led market, with a c 3% decline in real money gaming (RMG) in H218. More positively, FY18 RMG EBITDA appears to be in line (or slightly better) than our recently reduced estimate. Importantly, Stride’s high-margin proprietary platform is a key differentiator and the company remains well placed to gain market share. The balance sheet is strong and we expect strong cash flow through synergies and strategic ...
- Victoria Pease
Stride Gaming - Looking beyond the UK
The entire UK gaming sector has been stung by recent regulatory changes and, like other operators, Stride’s strategy is to diversify its UK-centric model into international markets. In the UK, the company is gaining market share, with H118 adjusted revenues increasing 14% to £44.9m, driven by 25% growth in the proprietary platform. However, we have lowered our total FY18 and FY19 EBITDA forecasts by 16.6% and 28.7% to reflect increased costs associated with regulatory compliance and internati...
- Victoria Pease
Stride Gaming - On track for underlying margin expansion
Stride’s AGM trading update confirmed the continued momentum in its core real money gaming (RMG) vertical. The Aspers Casino partnership has had an encouraging start and Stride is well positioned to keep gaining market share. Its key differentiating factor is the high-performing proprietary platform and we expect underlying margin expansion as customers migrate from acquired businesses. We believe that visibility into the social gaming vertical (5% of revenues) remains limited and we have lowe...
- Ed Stacey
Stride Gaming Plc - Capital Network: Eye Catching Metrics
Stride Gaming (LON:STR) is a leading online online gaming operator, working within the regulated markets, with a top 4 presence in the UK bingo market. Stride recently reported FY Aug 2017 results which confirmed strong operating progress, cashflows, and balance sheet. The UK bingo market continues to grow at mid-high single digits, and within that Stride has been gaining market share rapidly. The company is led by a management team with a proven track record of shareholder value creation (see ...
- Victoria Pease
Stride Gaming - Scale drives core growth
Stride reported net gaming revenue (NGR) growth of 18% to £89.9m in FY17, driven by an impressive 39% organic growth in the core real money gaming (RMG). Adjusted EBITDA of £20.2m was slightly above our recently raised estimates. Stride has invested heavily in technology and operational leverage should kick in as acquired customers migrate to the higher-margin proprietary platform. A small investment into the Indian rummy market could also lead to diversified revenue growth. Strong cash flow a...
- Victoria Pease
- Strong trading - nudging up EBITDA
Stride is gaining market share with strong organic growth in real money gaming (RMG). In its FY17 pre-close trading update, the company expects to meet the upper end of consensus and we have increased our FY17 and FY18 EBITDA forecasts by c 2.5%. The 8Ball earnout is now complete, with the Tarco earnout period ending in December. Stride has invested heavily in technology and operational leverage should kick in as acquired customers migrate to the higher-margin proprietary platform. The stock tra...
- Victoria Pease
Robust growth in real money gaming
Stride Gaming’s H117 pro forma net gaming revenues (NGR) grew 21% to £44.0m, driven by strong organic growth in the real money gaming (RMG) vertical. In a continuation of previous trends, the social gaming vertical has weakened, with a 24% decline in revenues to £4.7m, and Stride has recognised a £10.2m impairment on its InfiApps assets. However, the core RMG business is gaining market share, trading has been robust in Q317 and management has reiterated its FY17 outlook. Our headline FY17 revenu...
Winning market share
Stride’s AGM statement reports strong organic growth in real money gaming and we believe it is continuing to win market share. Our forecasts are unchanged although we have slightly adjusted the mix. We forecast 11% normalised EPS growth in FY17 and strong cash generation. The FY17 multiples look very low: the P/E is only 10.2x and EV/EBITDA is 7.3x (versus 8.0x for the peer group) despite Stride’s fully regulated status and above average growth.
Ford Equity International Rating and Forecast Report
Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind...
Successfully engaging players
Stride has a clear focus on online bingo and soft gaming and is growing rapidly, with FY16 l-f-l revenue up 22%. The acquisitions of Tarco and 8Ball at the end of FY16 doubled its share of the UK bingo-led market from 5% to 10% and should deliver material synergies from FY17. Our unchanged FY17 estimates are for 11% EPS growth and strong cash generation. We expect organic growth to be augmented by further accretive acquisitions in due course. Stride’s FY17 P/E is 10.3x and the calendarised EV/EB...
Another step change in scale
We have materially increased our FY17 profit forecasts for Stride (EPS raised by 14%) to reflect the acquisitions of Tarco and 8Ball and a positive trading update. The acquisitions double Stride’s estimated share of the UK online bingo market from 5% to 10% and are earnings accretive from day one. They mark a significant step forward in Stride’s ambition to be a global leader in digital soft gaming verticals. Its considerable progress is not yet reflected in its calendar 2017e EV/EBITDA of 8.3x.
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