Edison Investment Research - Tinexta (TNXT) Tinexta - Incorporating management’s FY22–24 guidance

Report

Edison Investment Research

Richard Williamson

Tinexta - Incorporating management’s FY22–24 guidance

Tinexta delivered FY21 results that were in line with our expectations, while undertaking a higher-than-average level of M&A as it sought to develop further the services it provides to customers and grow its international presence. Management’s new three-year (FY22–24) business plan points to attractive growth for revenue (low double digit) and adjusted EBITDA (mid-double digit) from a combination of organic growth, further M&A and cost efficiencies. Our estimate for adjusted EBITDA in FY22 is broadly unchanged, but we reduce our estimate for FY23 by c 4%. Recent share price weakness means our DCF-based valuation of €42 per share (previously €41) offers significant upside potential.

04/04/2022 1 EN

Underlying

Tinexta

Tinexta SpA, formerly Tecnoinvestimenti SpA, is an Italy-based holding company primarily engaged in the software and Internet services industry. Through its subsidiaries it operates three segments: Digital Trust, Credit Information and Managment, and Innovation and Marketing Services. Digital Trust offers solutions for the digital identity and the dematerialisation of processes with products and services, such as certified electronic mail, electronic archiving, digital signature, electronic invoicing, and solutions for the secure and simplified transmission of legal and financial documents. Credit Information and Managment provides services and products to assess the credit of businesses and individuals, guarantee expected cash flows, and minimise insolvency issues and late payments. Innovation and Marketing Services offers a consultancy platform for enterprises to support them in phases of manufacturing growth and expansion of commercial activites, including abroad.

See profile

IT0005037210 Italy

Provider

Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

See profile

Analysts

Richard Williamson

Other Reports on these Companies

Edison Investment Research

Tinexta - Weak Q324 but valuation appears too pessimistic

Tinexta’s weak Q324 results from its Cyber Security (CS) and Business Innovation (BI) divisions have prompted management to downgrade financial guidance for FY24 for the second time this year. We also take a more cautious stance on expected growth in FY25 and FY26. The c 60% decline in the share price in 2024, versus cumulative underlying downgrades of 16% to FY24e adjusted EBITDA, reflects investor concerns about two of Tinexta’s most significant acquisitions in recent years, the CS division and ABF Groupe. An improvement in performance from either would be helpful for sentiment, which appear...

November 13, 2024 November 13, 2024 1 EN

Edison Investment Research

Tinexta - Growth affected by temporary issues

Tinexta’s H124 results highlighted a weaker revenue profile in Q2 than Q1, mainly due to what management believes are temporary effects, as well as the high level of seasonality in some of the individual businesses. The temporary effects include: 1) a slight delay intra-year to expected new revenues, with management reiterating its underlying growth expectations for the year; and 2) deferred growth from ABF Group by six months due to the political changes in France. The latter leads to a reduction in adjusted EBITDA estimates of 5%, but management continues to guide to a strong year of growth ...

August 6, 2024 August 6, 2024 1 EN

Edison Investment Research

Tinexta - Typical seasonality in Q124

Tinexta’s Q124 results showed good progress in the two divisions that typically demonstrate more consistent (through the year) growth, Cyber Security and Digital Trust, which management expects to deliver higher growth over the next few years. Business Innovation demonstrated its typical seasonality and management therefore remains confident about the outlook for the year.

May 17, 2024 May 17, 2024 1 EN

Games Workshop Group - A notable acceleration in Q225

Games Workshop Group’s (GAW’s) H125 trading update suggests the company enjoyed a strong Q225 in both its core business (due to the launch of the fourth edition of Age of Sigmar midway through Q125) and licensing (due to the success of the Space Marine 2 video game). These are impressive in the context of the tough comparative from the prior year’s launch of the new edition of Warhammer 40K (40K) and the currency headwinds in the early part of H125. We upgrade our profit estimates for FY25 (by 7%) and FY26 (by 3%) to reflect the outperformance versus our prior expectations.

8h / 24m 8h / 24m 1 EN

Richard Williamson

Richard Williamson

Altron - Further margin expansion in H125

Altron reported a 105% y-o-y increase in operating profit before capital items in H125, with margin expansion of 5.1pp to 9.8%. The Platforms businesses were particularly strong, with Netstar and FinTech achieving material revenue and profit growth. Altron Digital Business, still in the integration phase, saw some non-recurring costs and the shift of several project starts into H225, but has seen indications that performance should improve in FY26. Management raised its FY26 operating profit target, partly to reflect the inclusion of Altron Document Solutions (ADS) in continuing operations. We...

9h / 48m 9h / 48m 1 EN

Alison Turner

Alison Turner

Sayona Mining - Catching up with majors

Sayona Mining is a lithium producer and explorer with projects in Canada, Western Australia and soon in the US and Ghana. A proposed merger of equals with Piedmont Lithium will create a c A$1bn mid-tier lithium player with streamlined asset ownership and significant growth optionality. Sayona and Piedmont’s Canadian and US projects comprise one of the largest advanced hard rock lithium resources in North America and are strategically positioned to supply the region’s growing lithium demand. Following the proposed equity raises, the company will be well capitalised to execute on its growth plan...

10h / 24m 10h / 24m 1 EN

Sign-up for free to access full reports immediately

Email Address*

Choose Password* ( 6 or more characters )

Due to regulatory restrictions regarding the distribution of financial research, this report is restricted to a specific region or investor type. Get access to exclusive reports by answering the questions below.

Select your country*

Get financial insights straight to your inbox

By clicking "register" you accept the Terms and Conditions & Privacy Policy

Already on ResearchPool?

Almost there...

Are you a professional investor?

Select your country

REGISTER

Create a free ResearchPool account to access full reports, get a personalised dashboard and follow providers or companies

In order to access this report please create an account.

LOGIN

Tinexta - Incorporating management’s FY22–24 guidance

Tinexta - Weak Q324 but valuation appears too pessimistic

Tinexta - Growth affected by temporary issues

Tinexta - Typical seasonality in Q124

Games Workshop Group - A notable acceleration in Q225

Altron - Further margin expansion in H125

Sayona Mining - Catching up with majors

Create a free ResearchPool account to access full reports, get a personalised dashboard and follow providers or companies

Sign-up for free to access full reports immediately

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Why subscribe?

How to subscribe

ResearchPool Subscriptions

This report is only available to subscribers

Why subscribe?

How to subscribe