TransContainer - Another beat, with structural and cyclical drivers
Both cyclical and structural factors drove strong revenue growth in H119 (adjusted revenues up 32% y-o-y, above our expectations) which, combined with efficiency gains and economies of scale, led to EBITDA growth of 67% y-o-y and net income almost doubling. We forecast growth to continue, albeit at a more moderate pace, as we expect a stabilisation in rail container transportation prices. We have significantly increased our forecasts, which drives a 33% increase in our valuation to RUB9,460/share.PJSC Transcontainer is engaged in the arrangement of rail-based container shipping and other logistics services. Rail-based transportation services primarily include arranging the transportation of its own and third-party containers by rail. Integrated freight forwarding and logistics services are service packages including rail container transportation, terminal handling, truck deliveries, freight forwarding and logistic services. As of Dec. 31, 2012, Co. owns and operates 46 container terminals along the Russian railway network, operated 17 branches in Russia, had a truck fleet of 860 units, fleet of 25,086 container flatcars and 19,425 medium-duty (3-ton and 5-ton) containers.
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