Vermilion Energy - Q418 FFO 6.7% ahead of consensus
Vermilion has reported Q418 FFO of C$222.3m, 6.7% ahead of consensus C$208.3m and in line with our estimate of C$222.2m. At 101.6kboed, production was 2.7% ahead of our forecasts, with FFO/share 1.1% ahead at C$1.46/share. Guidance for 2019 production of 101–106kboed (with the mid-point implying 19% y-o-y growth) and the capex budget of C$530m remain unchanged. ROCE in 2018 was 9% compared to a five-year average of 4%. Our last published valuation was C$54.5/share, based on a blend of FY19 P/CF, EV/EBIDAX and multiple of FCF plus five-year NAV growth.Vermilion Energy, through its subsidiaries, is engaged in the business of oil and natural gas exploitation, development, acquisition and production in Canada, France, the Netherlands, Australia and Ireland.
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